In an interesting 6-11 game in the South Regional UNLV runs with Colorado Thursday night.
The Rebels, who got in with an at-large bid after placing third in the Mountain West, are favored by 4.5 points over the Buffaloes, who finished second in the Pac-12 and then won the conference tournament.
For UNLV, the OVER is 5-1 past 6 tournament games and they are just 2-8 ATS in their past 10 games overall.
This game is being played at a neutral-site court (The Pit).
Supporters of the Buffaloes have watched them go 23-11 and 16-14 ATS on the year, while the Rebels are at 26-8 and 13-18 ATS. In totals betting, the Rebels are 14-17, while the Buffaloes have a 11-19 mark.
On the opening NCAAB line for this matchup, UNLV sat as 3.5-point favorites.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Rebels rated this week at No. 17 and the Buffaloes sitting at No. 54. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction modelling that produced a 79-73 result in favor of the Rebels.
How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and UNLV has the nation's No. 23-rated offensive output, at 76.7 PPG. The visiting Buffaloes defense ranks No. 60 allowing on average 62.5 PPG. The Rebels FG% has averaged 46.2% so far, more than the Buffaloes marksmen have achieved on the year, 44.5% per game.
Defensively, Colorado features the nation's No. 74-rated defense on the road, allowing 65.6 points per game. UNLV, meanwhile, comes in at No. 21 nationally in scoring at home.
In their last action, Colorado was a 53-51 winner on the road against Arizona. They covered the 3.5-point spread as underdogs. Spencer Dinwiddie scored 14 points leading the Buffaloes to a 53-51 victory over Arizona at Staples Center on Saturday.
UNLV was a 72-67 loser in their most recent outing at home against New Mexico. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites. The Rebels endured a 72-67 loss at the hands of the Lobos on Friday, despite a 19-point effort from Anthony Marshall at Thomas & Mack Center.
Colorado Buffaloes Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
After playing Arizona are 3-0
After a win are 6-4
UNLV Rebels Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
After playing New Mexico are 7-3
After a loss are 8-2
A few Buffaloes at Rebels trends to consider:
UNLV is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UNLV's last 7 games
UNLV is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games