Midwest Region Trends, Computer Predictions

The nation's only unbeaten team is the top seed in the Midwest and there are lots of positive trends to go with the hype when it comes to betting on Wichita State.

They hit the tournament having cashed 17 of 21 tickets, including eight in a row when they were favored by double digits. The Shockers are also 7-2 ATS in tournament games since 2006. Good luck to the winner of the Cal Poly-Texas Southern play-in game, because they will need it. So will bettors.

Wofford may not be a threat to defeat No. 2 Michigan, but they are a threat to cover the spread if recent history means anything. They are winless in the tournament (0-2) but perfect at the betting wondow (2-0 ATS).

Wofford is also 11-2-1 ATS in its past 14 games and has won two of its past three games as underdogs.

Duke limps into the tournament on a 1-6-1 ATS run and the Blue Deviils are just 3-6 ATS in their past nine first-round games. Louisville boasts plenty of positive trends and they are heating up for a repeat run at the Final Four. But they face a Manhattan team that has been one of the best underdog bets since the New Year (15-2 ATS past 17 games as underdogs).

A pair of play-in games will shape this region better. Bettors are cheering for Xavier to beat NC State since the Musketeers are by far the best Madness team to bet on over the years (19-2-1 ATS past 22 Madness games).

Midwest Region betting trends

1 vs 16

Wichita State vs Cal Poly/Texas Southern winner

Wichita State 17-4 ATS run past 21 games

WSU favored by 12 or more points past eight games, covered every spread

WSU 14-3 ATS past 17 games as double-digit chalk

WSU 7-2 ATS in tournament games since 2006

2 vs 15

Michigan vs Wofford

Six of final eight UM games played OVER the total

Seven-game MU win streak snapped by Spartans in Big Ten final

Michigan 7-2 ATS past nine tournament games

Wofford 0-2 SU, 2-0 ATS in two recent trips to March Madness

Wofford 11-2-1 ATS past 14 games

Wofford won two of past three games as underdogs

3 vs 14

Duke vs Mercer

Duke 1-6-1 ATS past eight games

Duke 3-6 ATS past nine first-round games

Mercer 21-4 SU run this season

Mercer scored wins over Seton Hall, Ole Miss this season

4 vs 13

Louisville vs Manhattan

Louisville won and covered five straight to end the season

Louisville 16-2 SU past 18 games

Louisville 11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS past 12 games as favorites

Louisville 8-2-1 ATS past 11 tournament games

UNDER is 5-1 past 6 Louisville first-round games

Manhattan 11-1 SU past 12 games

Manhattan 15-2 ATS past 17 games as underdogs

5 vs 12

Saint Louis vs NC State/Xavier winner

Saint Louis 1-8 ATS past nine games

NC State riding 10-2 ATS streak past dozen games

OVER is 8-1 past nine NC State games

UNDER is 8-1 past nine NC State tournament games

Xavier 19-2-1 ATS past 22 tournament games

6 vs 11

UMass vs Tennessee/Iowa winner

UMass ended year on 0-6 ATS run

First tournament for UMass since 1998

Iowa 1-6 SU, 0-7 ATS past seven games

OVER is 9-2 past 11 Iowa games

7 vs 10

Texas vs Arizona State

Texas 2-6 ATS past eight games

Texas 14-2 SU this season when favored

Texas 0-4 ATS past four tournament games

Arizona State is 2-8-1 ATS past 11 games as underdogs

8 vs 9

Kentucky vs Kansas State

UNDER is 8-3 past 11 games when KU is favored

Kentucky 7-1-1 ATS past 10 tournament games

Kansas State ended year on 2-6 ATS run

Kansas State 2-8 SU past 10 games as underdogs

Kansas State is 4-1 ATS past five first-round games

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The Midwest Region is considered the toughest bracket in the 2013 college basketball tournament and one team is riding the hottest betting streak in years.

Saint Louis may be the No. 4 seed, but they arrive at the party on a 15-1 ATS run in 16 games! Put them in the favorite position – which they are against No. 13 New Mexico State – and they are 17-3 ATS the past 20 games in that role.

Louisville is the top seed and they were terrific last year in making the Final Four. They were 4-0-1 ATS in five games. The Play in game to decide Louisville’s first-round opponent also features small schools on a roll.

Both Liberty and North Carolina A&T are perfect on the few occasions betting was made available on their games.

Check out some important Midwest trends and picks.

Preview: Computer Prediction: 79-65 Louisville
NC A&T 7-1 ATS this season in lined games
Louisville 4-0-1 ATS last year in Madness

Preview: Computer Prediction: 82-80 Colorado State
Colorado State 2-8-1 ATS past 11 games
Colorado State OVER 6-0-1 past 7 games
Missouri OVER is 12-2-1 past 15 tournament games
Missouri 1-4 ATS past 5 tournament games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 77-76 Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State UNDER is 9-3 past 12 tournament games
Oregon is 3-8 ATS in tournament since 2000
Oklahoma State 17-2 SU past 19 games as favorite
Oregon played 7 straight UNDERs when underdog

Preview: Computer Prediction: 75-70 Saint Louis
Saint Louis is 15-1 ATS past 16 games
Saint Louis 17-3 ATS past 20 games as favorites
New Mexico State OVER 7-0-1 past 8 games away from home
Saint Louis 4-1 ATS in tournament since 1998
New Mexico State lost 6 straight tournament games since 1993

Preview: Computer Prediction: 82-81 Saint Marys
Saint Mary’s 17-3 SU past 20 games
Saint Mary’s 18-1 SU past 19 games as favorite
Memphis 24-1 SU past 25 games
Memphis OVER is 10-2 past 12 tournament games
Memphis 1-4 ATS past 5 first-round games

Preview: Computer Prediction: 75-74 Valpo!!!!
Michigan State – no trends of note
Valparaiso 16-2 SU past 18 games
Valpo is 0-4 SU & ATS since 1999, losing by average 77-53

Preview: Computer Prediction: 78-74 Creighton
Creighton UNDER 12-4 past 16 games
UNDER is 9-1 past 10 Jays road games
Creighton won 7 in row as favorite
Cincinnati 1-7 ATS past 8 games
UNDER is 13-1 past 14 Bearcats games
Creighton 2-7 ATS past 9 tournament games
Cincinnati 5-2 ATS in first round since 2002

Preview: Computer Prediction: 80-71 Duke
Duke – no real trends of note
Albany – no real trends of note, but beware – Duke lost to the No. 15 last year (Lehigh)


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