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Mustangs vs Bears College Hoops Game Preview

Cal Poly MustangsNorthern Colorado Bears
Feb 18, 9:05 PM | Butler-Hancock Pavilion

Cal Poly Mustangs vs Northern Colorado Bears Odds

15-12TEAM RECORD8-17

Butler-Hancock Pavilion will host Bears vs. Mustangs action on Saturday as both teams try to pay off for bettors in NCAAB action.

The Mustangs will try to spoil to the party on Saturday; they are 9-14 ATS against the number this season, while the Bears are 11-11-1 ATS. Cal Poly is 11-11-1 on the totals; Northern Colorado is 13-9-1.

View Cal Poly vs Northern Colorado Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks had set the Bears as 2.5-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Bears - Mustangs odds would favor the Mustangs if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Northern Colorado is rated No. 246 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Cal Poly is at No. 144. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 72-65 win for the Mustangs.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Northern Colorado's No. 87 nationally ranked offense (72 points per game) against a Mustangs defense that sits as the No. 34 at 60.6 PPG. The Bears have been averaging 47.7% from the field, more than the Mustangs have managed so far this season (42.8% on average).

Defensively, Cal Poly features the nation's No. 19-rated defense on the road, allowing 61.3 points per game. Northern Colorado, meanwhile, comes in at No. 138 nationally in scoring at home.

In their last action, Cal Poly was a 94-81 loser on the road against CS Northridge. They failed to cover the 7-point spread as favorites. The Mustangs endured a 94-81 loss at the hands of the Matadors on Wednesday, despite a 16-point effort from David Hanson at The Matadome.

In their last action, Northern Colorado was a 79-76 loser on the road against Eastern Washington. They covered the 9-point spread as underdogs. Northern Colorado got 17 points from Connor Osborne but lost anyway, 79-76, to Eastern Washington on Wednesday at Reese Court.

Cal Poly Mustangs Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 2-8
Before playing Santa Barbara are 4-6
After playing CS Northridge are 3-7
After a loss are 7-3

Northern Colorado Bears Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 1-6
Before playing Weber State are 6-4
After playing Eastern Washington are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5

A few Mustangs at Bears trends to consider:
Cal Poly is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Colorado's last 6 games at home
Northern Colorado is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Northern Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Cal Poly at Santa Barbara, Saturday, February 25
Northern Colorado home to Weber State, Thursday, February 23

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