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NC State Big Dogs at Duke

Duke has won 13 straight games when playing at home against North Carolina State and they are favored by 10.5 points to do it again tonight in ACC betting action.

The Blue Devils rebounded from a bad home loss to Miami with wins over Maryland and that crazy buzzer beater at UNC. For NC State, they have not won as a double-digit underdog since beating Duke last January, so there is history of the Wolfpack upsetting Duke.

Of note, Duke is just 1-5 ATS in their past 6 home games and the scores prediction computer has projected a 83-80 final score, which would be an NC State cover (see the best underdog line at Bovada).

View North Carolina State vs Duke Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
On the opening NCAA basketball point spread for this matchup, Duke sat as 10.5-point favorites at Bovada early Thursday. The total was at 151.5 over at TopBet.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Blue Devils rated this week at No. 35 and the Wolfpack sitting at No. 50. It may or may not play a role in Odds Shark score prediction modelling that produced a 83-80 result in favor of the Blue Devils.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Duke's No. 11-ranked offense, averaging 79.7 PPG, against a Wolfpack defense that ranks No. 186 at 67.2 PPG. The Blue Devils field goal percentage has averaged 47.6% so far, more than the Wolfpack marksmen have achieved on the year, 46.8% per game.

Defensively, North Carolina State features the nation's No. 38-rated defense on the road, allowing 63.1 points per game. Duke, meanwhile, comes in at No. 24 nationally in scoring at home.

North Carolina State was a 61-52 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Georgia Tech. They covered the 4.5-point spread as favorites. North Carolina State earned a 61-52 victory over Georgia Tech on Thursday, getting 15 points from C.J. Williams at Alexander Memorial Coliseum.

In their last action, Duke was a 73-55 winner at home against Maryland. They covered the 15-point spread as favorites. Duke earned a 73-55 victory over Maryland on Saturday, getting 19 points from Seth Curry at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

North Carolina State Wolfpack Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing Florida State are 1-9
After playing Georgia Tech are 4-6
After a win are 8-2

Duke Blue Devils Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 10-0
Before playing Boston College are 6-4
After playing Maryland are 7-3
After a win are 7-3

 

A few Wolfpack at Blue Devils trends to consider:
North Carolina State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Duke
North Carolina State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Duke
Duke is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against North Carolina State
Duke is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
Duke is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Duke is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing North Carolina State

Next up:
North Carolina State home to Florida State, Saturday, February 18
Duke at Boston College, Sunday, February 19

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