West Coast Conference rivals will meet on the hardwood once again on Thursday night as the St. Mary's Gaels look for their second ATS victory of the season over the ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs.
St. Mary's fell 83-78 to Gonzaga in their first matchup of the season on the college basketball betting lines on January 10, but they managed to cover the spread of 9.5 points on the road. St. Mary's is 3-1 ATS over its past four games against the Bulldogs.
St. Mary's will face the 23-2 Bulldogs, who own a 12-10-1 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Gaels are 11-9 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Bulldogs are 9-12 favoring the OVER.
The Gaels were listed as 1-point favorites at most sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark earlier in the day. It opened first at BetOnline, where the total was expected shortly.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new college basketball power rankings here, it's the No. 67-ranked Gaels and the No. 14-rated Bulldogs in this matchup. Computer formulas aimed at predicting NCAAB scores point to a 88-84 win for the Bulldogs on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Bulldogs rank No. 104 in NCAA Division 1 with 36.5 per game. That compares with St. Mary's’s No. 88 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where St. Mary's is college basketball's No. 18-ranked team at 8.3 per game, while the Bulldogs rate No. 136 with 6.5 per game.
Comparing how these foes stack up statistically, Gonzaga owns the country's No. 30-rated mark, allowing 61.5 points per game on the highway. St. Mary's, on the other hand, rates No. 16 in scoring at home.
In their last action, Gonzaga was a 74-55 winner at home against Loyola Marymount. They failed to cover the 24.5-point spread as favorites. Gonzaga got 20 points from Kevin Pangos en route to a 74-55 victory over Loyola Marymount on Saturday at McCarthey Athletic Center.
St. Mary's won its last outing, a 74-64 result against San Diego on February 9. They failed to cover in that game as a 10.5-point favorite. Matthew Dellavedova scored 19 points leading the Gaels to a 74-64 victory over San Diego at Jenny Craig Pavilion on Saturday.
Gonzaga Bulldogs Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 9-1
Before playing San Francisco are 9-1
After playing Loyola Marymount are 8-2
After a win are 9-1
St. Mary's Gaels Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing Loyola Marymount are 10-0
After playing San Diego are 5-5
After a win are 9-1
A few Bulldogs at Gaels trends to consider:
Gonzaga is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Gonzaga's last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Mary's
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Gonzaga's last 5 games on the road
Gonzaga is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against St. Mary's
St. Mary's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Mary's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Mary's last 8 games when playing at home against Gonzaga
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Mary's last 6 games at home
Gonzaga at San Francisco, Saturday, February 16
St. Mary's at Loyola Marymount, Saturday, February 16