The Duke Blue Devils will have revenge on their minds on Thursday night as they take on a North Carolina State Wolfpack team that upset them on the college basketball betting lines last month.
N.C. State beat Duke 84-76 as a home underdog on the college hoops odds when those ACC teams faced off back on January 12 in the fourth OVER result in the past five meetings between them. Duke is 2-3 ATS in their last five games against N.C. State.
The Blue Devils sport records of 19-2 and 12-9 ATS heading into this battle, while the Wolfpack have 16-6 and 11-7-2 ATS marks on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 11-10 for the Blue Devils and 12-7-1 for the Wolfpack.
Sportsbooks (including ) had the Blue Devils installed as 10.5-point favorites in this particular matchup earlier in the day. Also, watch for the opening over-under value at TopBet.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to new college basketball power rankings here, it's the No. 12-ranked Blue Devils and the No. 25-rated Wolfpack in this matchup. Computer formulas aimed at predicting NCAAB scores point to a 87-81 win for the Blue Devils on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
Scoring and defensive stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features Duke's No. 13-ranked scoring average of 78 PPG, against a Wolfpack defense rated No. 256 and allowing 70 PPG. The Blue Devils FG% has averaged 47.3% to date this season, less than the Wolfpack shooters have managed so far (50.4% per game).
Defensively, North Carolina State features the nation's No. 115-rated defense on the road, allowing 66.7 points per game. Duke, meanwhile, comes in at No. 41 nationally in scoring at home.
In their last action, North Carolina State was a 79-78 loser at home against Miami. They earned a push of the 1-point spread as underdogs. North Carolina State suffered a 79-78 loss against Miami on Saturday, getting 18 points from C.J. Leslie in a losing effort at PNC Arena.
Duke won its last outing, a 79-60 result against Florida State on February 2. They covered in that game as a 5.5-point favorite. The Blue Devils grabbed a 79-60 win over the Seminoles on Saturday, behind a 21-point effort from Seth Curry at Tucker Center.
North Carolina State Wolfpack Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 7-3
Before playing Clemson are 4-6
After playing Miami are 2-8
After a loss are 6-4
Duke Blue Devils Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 9-1
Before playing Boston College are 6-4
After playing Florida State are 6-4
After a win are 8-2
A few Wolfpack at Blue Devils trends to consider:
North Carolina State is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 9 games on the road
North Carolina State is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Duke is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against North Carolina State
Duke is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Duke's last 14 games when playing North Carolina State
North Carolina State at Clemson, Sunday, February 10
Duke at Boston College, Sunday, February 10