Falcons favored big over Raiders
The Atlanta Falcons hope to remain the NFC's only undefeated team when they host the Oakland Raiders Sunday at the Georgia Dome.
Atlanta is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS through its first five games and riding a solid 7-1 ATS run in games before a bye week. They hit their bye week next weekend and would love to arrive there are 6-0.
Oakland is just 1-3 SU and ATS over its first four games and 0-2 SU and ATS on the road. Atlanta is 16-4 SU and 11-7-2 ATS in its last 20 home games.
Oakland has been tough on the road and as an underdog, but coming off a bye week, they have been horrible. The past nine seasons, thye have lost ATS in their game after a bye, a situation they are in this week.
The Falcons were listed as 7.5-point favorites at Bovada and other online sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 48.5.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Falcons - Raiders odds would favor the Falcons if the lines were set according to power ranks. Atlanta is rated No. 7 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Raiders sit at No. 32. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 35-10 win for the Falcons.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Atlanta's No. 6-ranked offense (29.6 PPG) against a Raiders defense that ranks No. 30 at 31.2 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 281.6 yards per game, less than the Raiders give up through the air (283 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Raiders feature the league's No. 32-rated road run defense, allowing 214 yards per game. Atlanta, meanwhile, ranks No. 20 in rushing offense at home.
Oakland lost its last outing, a 37-6 result against the Broncos on September 30. The Raiders failed to cover in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 43 combined points took the game UNDER the total.
Atlanta won its last outing, a 24-17 result against the Redskins on October 7. The Falcons covered in that game as a 3-point favorite, while the 41 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Matt Ryan led the way last time out for the Falcons, connecting for 345 passing yards and a 24-17 victory over the Redskins at FedExField.
Oakland Raiders Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5
Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few Raiders at Falcons trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
Oakland home to Jacksonville, Sunday, October 21
Atlanta at Philadelphia, Sunday, October 28