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Packers Remain Big Chalk in Atlanta

Green Bay takes its 4-0 mark to Atlanta for the Sunday Nighter, opening as 5.5-point chalk against the struggling Falcons.

Atlanta is lucky to not be 0-4 but sit at 2-2 on the year and had better be ready for the Packer offense, which is averaging about 2 TDs less per game on the road. Green Bay continues to take care of business against the spread at 10-3 ATS as a favorite.

The Falcons however are 3-1 ATS since 2008 as a home underdog.

View Green Bay vs Atlanta Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
If you're siding with the visitors in this one you'll find the Packers listed as 4.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, the over under line for the matchup was at 53.5.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Falcons sit at No. 22 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Packers are at No. 4 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Packers will win this game 40-24.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Atlanta's No. 16-ranked offense (22.5 PPG) against a Packers defense that ranks No. 18 at 24.2 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 260.5 yards per game, less than the Packers give up through the air (335.8 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Packers feature the league's No. 1-rated road run defense, allowing 42 yards per game. Atlanta, meanwhile, ranks No. 7 in rushing offense at home.

Green Bay won its last outing, a 49-23 result against the Broncos on October 2. The Packers covered in that game as a 12-point favorite, while the 72 combined points took the game OVER the total. Aaron Rodgers dusted the Broncos secondary for 4 TDs last time out as the Packers defeated Denver 49-23 at Lambeau Field.

Atlanta won its last outing, a 30-28 result against the Seahawks on October 2. The Falcons failed to cover in that game as a 6.5-point favorite, while the 58 combined points took the game OVER the total. Julio Jones was good for 127 receiving yards in the Falcons's most recent action, helping his team to a 30-28 victory over the Seahawks.

Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2

Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few Packers at Falcons trends to consider:
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Green Bay's last 13 games on the road
Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Green Bay

Next up:
Green Bay home to St. Louis, Sunday, October 16
Atlanta home to Carolina, Sunday, October 16