Betting line favors Saints over Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Odds
Both the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints have lost three straight games, and one will snap that losing streak this Sunday when the two teams meet at the Superdome. This series is split right down the middle with both teams at 5-5 SU against each other over the last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last eight games between these two division rivals. Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS in its last nine trips to New Orleans.
The point spread was settled in at 4.5 favoring the host Saints earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook.ag. The over under line was hovering around 54, with movement expected during the week at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Saints sit at No. 29 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Buccaneers are at No. 11 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Buccaneers will win this game 30-24.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New Orleans's No. 6-ranked offense, averaging 26.8 PPG, against a Buccaneers defense that ranks No. 20 this week at 23.7 PPG. The Saints aerial game is averaging 298.1 yards per game, less than the Buccaneers secondary allows through the air, 311.6 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Buccaneers feature the league's No. 2-rated road run defense, allowing 80.3 yards per game. New Orleans, meanwhile, ranks No. 28 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Tampa Bay was a 23-21 loser at home against the Eagles. They failed to cover the 7-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (44) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Doug Martin ran through the Philadelphia defense for 128 yards in Tampa Bay's last game, but the Buccaneers still lost a 23-21 decision at Raymond James Stadium.
Last time out for New Orleans, they were a 52-27 loser as they battled the Giants on the road. The Saints failed to cover in the match as a 4-point underdog, while 79 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Drew Brees's 354-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as New York earned a 52-27 win over New Orleans on Sunday at MetLife Stadium.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trends:
When playing in December are 2-8
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the division are 4-6
New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 7-3
A few Buccaneers at Saints trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 18 games
Tampa Bay home to St. Louis, Sunday, December 23
New Orleans at Dallas, Sunday, December 23