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Cleveland vs Miami NFL betting picks

Miami DolphinsCleveland Browns
Sep 8, 1:00 PM | Grass of FirstEnergy Stadium

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Odds

7-9TEAM RECORD5-11

A pair of second-year starting quarterbacks face off to begin their sophomore seasons as Ryan Tannehill and his Miami Dolphins meet up with Brandon Weeden and his Cleveland Browns Sunday at the place they now call FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland (1 pm ET, CBS).

As of Friday morning most NFL betting outlets were listing the Dolphins, who have lost the last four games in this series, as one-point road favorites over the home-standing Brownies.

And don't be surprised if trends bettors fade the Browns, who are 2-11-1 ATS in their past 14 season openers.

Miami hasn't fared much better opening the season (2-7-1 ATS past 10).

View Miami vs Cleveland Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors who were going with the Browns in this one found them listed as 1.5-point underdogs on the betting line at 5Dimes. Totals bettors have seen that number set earlier in the week at 41 over at GTbets.eu.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Browns - Dolphins odds would favor the Browns if the lines were set according to power ranks. Cleveland is rated No. 27 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Dolphins sit at No. 28. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 18-16 win for the Dolphins.

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Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few Dolphins at Browns trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Miami is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games

Next up:
Miami at Indianapolis, Sunday, September 15
Cleveland at Baltimore, Sunday, September 15