Chiefs open as underdog vs Bills
The Buffalo Bills host the Kansas City Chiefs Sunday afternoon, a team they have dominated against the spread for decades, at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
With Kansas City coming off of a big loss to Atlanta and Buffalo coming off of a big loss to the New York Jets, both teams will look to get their seasons on track with a win this week.
Buffalo is a 3-point home favorite at Sportsbook.ag and is 10-2 ATS in 12 games against KV since 1994. Since 2008, Buffalo is 4-0 both SU and ATS in its last four games against Kansas City.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Bills at No. 24 and the Chiefs at No. 21 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 19-15 result in favor of the Chiefs.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Buffalo's No. 11-ranked offense, averaging 28 PPG, against a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 28 this week at 40 PPG. The Bills aerial game is averaging 195 yards per game, less than the Chiefs secondary allows through the air, 292 YPG per game.
Last time out for Kansas City, they were a 40-24 loser as they battled the Falcons at home. The Chiefs failed to cover in the match as a 2-point underdog, while 64 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. The Chiefs suffered a Week 1 loss against Atlanta in their last game, falling 40-24 at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Bills were a 48-28 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Jets. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (76) made winners of OVER bettors. Ryan Fitzpatrick beat the Jets secondary for 3 TDs last time out, but the Bills lost to New York 48-28 at MetLife Stadium.
Kansas City Chiefs Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6
Buffalo Bills Trends:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 5-5
A few Chiefs at Bills trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Buffalo
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Buffalo's last 10 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City at New Orleans, Sunday, September 23
Buffalo at Cleveland, Sunday, September 23