Chiefs vs Bills Game Preview
|Kansas City Chiefs||Buffalo Bills|
One season after winning just two games the Kansas City Chiefs are off to an 8-0 start.
KC is a different team under new head coach Andy Reid, with an entirely different attitude, but they've also been helped by a weak schedule, and they've played five of their first eight games at home.
This week the Chiefs go on the road, up to Buffalo to take on the 3-5 Bills Sunday afternoon (1 pm ET, CBS).
These two teams are not divisional rivals, but they've played each of the last five seasons, with Buffalo winning four times SU and going 5-0 ATS. Last September the Bills beat KC at Arrowhead Stadium 35-17.
In the early betting the Chiefs, 5-3 ATS on the season, were favored by three points over Buffalo, which is also 5-3 ATS this year.
The Bills are 3-5 so far on the season, and 5-3 ATS vs. the number. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are 8-0 and 5-3 ATS. Over under bettors have seen Buffalo go 6-2 and the Chiefs go 2-6 on the totals.
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 21-rated Bills and the No. 10-rated Chiefs in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 30-15 win for the Chiefs on Sunday.
Kansas City won its last outing, a 23-17 result against the Browns on October 27. The Chiefs failed to cover in that game as a 7-point favorite, while the 40 combined points took the game OVER the total. The Bills suffered a Week 8 loss against New Orleans in their last game, falling 35-17 at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Buffalo's No. 19-ranked offense (22 PPG) against a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 1 at 12.25 PPG. The Bills passing attack has averaged 195.12 yards per game, less than the Chiefs give up through the air (205.75 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Chiefs own the league's No. 30-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 146.67 yards per game when on the road. Buffalo, on the other hand, rates No. 4 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Chiefs at Bills trends to consider:
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Buffalo is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Kansas City at Denver, Sunday, November 17th
Buffalo at Pittsburgh, Sunday, November 10th