Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots in NFL odds tilt

New England Patriots Cincinnati Bengals

The New England Patriots haven’t quite looked like world beaters yet this season, but they are 4-0 going into a game against the 2-2 Bengals Sunday in Cincinnati (1 pm ET, CBS).

In the early NFL wagering the Patriots, coming off a win in Atlanta Sunday night, were getting a point and a half from Cincy, which just put up six points in a loss at Cleveland.

But the Patriots have dominated the Bengals, going 7-1 SU vs Bengals since 1993. They have also dominated away from home, as their 11-2 SU past 13 road games indicates.

The Bengals, meanwhile, have been a good bet at home, going 5-1 ATS in their past 6 home games.

The Bengals sit at 2-2 (2-1-1 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Patriots are currently 4-0 (2-2 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Cincinnati is 2-2 OU, and New England is 1-3 OU.

View New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals Odds and Stats.

The Bengals were listed as -3-point favorites at Bovada and other online sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 45.

The game pits the Bengals, currently No. 7 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Patriots, who rate No. 3 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 25-18 victory for the Patriots.

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The Patriots were a 30-23 winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Falcons. They covered the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (53) made winners of OVER bettors. Tom Brady's 316-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as New England earned a 30-23 win over Atlanta on Sunday at Georgia Dome. In their last game, the Bengals were Week 4 losers coming out on the wrong end of 17-6 score against Cleveland.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Cincinnati's No. 22-ranked offense, averaging 20.25 PPG, against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 6 this week at 14.25 PPG. The Bengals aerial game is averaging 243.75 yards per game, more than the Patriots secondary allows through the air, 241 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Patriots own the league's No. 8-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 85 yards per game when on the road. Cincinnati, on the other hand, rates No. 18 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Patriots at Bengals trends to consider:
New England is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Cincinnati
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
New England is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing New England
Cincinnati is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing New England
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New England

Next up:
New England at New Orleans, Sunday, October 13th
Cincinnati at Buffalo, Sunday, October 13th

 

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