Dolphins vs Ravens Preview
|Baltimore Ravens||Miami Dolphins|
Coming off their first loss of the season at New Orleans Monday night the 3-1 Miami Dolphins head home to host the defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore Ravens Sunday afternoon (1 pm ET, CBS).
In the early betting the 'Fins were favored by a field goal over the 2-2 Ravens, who just lost in Buffalo and might be suffering from a mild case of the Super Bowl flu.
NFL over-under bettors know that the UNDER is 6-2 past eight meetings in Miami. As well, the Dolphins are 8-2 SU in their past 10 games as home favorite.
The Dolphins sport records of 3-1 and 3-1 ATS heading into this matchup, while the Ravens sit at 2-2 and 2-2 ATS on the season. The over under records are 3-1 for the Dolphins and 1-3 for the Ravens.
The point spread was settled in at -3 favoring the host Dolphins earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook.ag. The over under line was hovering around 43.5, with movement expected during the week at Bovada.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Dolphins rated this week at No. 17 and the Ravens sitting at No. 13. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 22-21 result in favor of the Ravens this week.
Baltimore was a 23-20 loser in its last match on the road against the Bills. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 43 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In Baltimore's last outing, Joe Flacco threw for 347 yards in a losing cause against the Bills, 23-20 at Ralph Wilson Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 17-ranked offense (22.75 PPG) against a Ravens defense that ranks No. 12 at 21.75 PPG. The Dolphins passing attack has averaged 240.75 yards per game, more than the Ravens give up through the air (239 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Ravens feature the league's No. 5-rated road run defense, allowing 82.67 yards per game. Miami, meanwhile, ranks No. 23 in rushing offense at home.
A few Ravens at Dolphins trends to consider:
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Baltimore is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Miami
Miami is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Baltimore
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore at Green Bay, Sunday, October 13th
Miami at Buffalo, Sunday, October 20th