Monday Nighter: Eagles vs Saints Pick
If the Week 9 Monday Nighter goes down the same way that most Monday Nighters involving the Eagles as a road team go down, this will be a win for Philly bettors.
In their past 13 MNF games on the road, the Eagles are 11-2 ATS. They have also dominated the Saints head to head, with a 7-2 ATS mark in nine meetings in the past two decades.
Expect plenty of offense this Monday night when the Philadelphia Eagles visit the New Orleans Saints at the Superdome.
The total has gone OVER in each of the last five games between these two teams.
The total has also gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans' last 12 games. Philadelphia is 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last seven games against the Saints.
Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Eagles listed as 1.5-point underdogs at shops such as Bovada earlier in the week, but it has been bet up to -3 for the Saints. Meanwhile, the over under line for the matchup was at 51.5 early Monday over at Sportsbook.ag.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Saints at No. 32 and the Eagles at No. 16 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 21-19 result in favor of the Saints.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New Orleans's No. 6-ranked offense, averaging 27.1 PPG, against a Eagles defense that ranks No. 16 this week at 22.1 PPG. The Saints aerial game is averaging 316 yards per game, more than the Eagles secondary allows through the air, 229.1 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Eagles own the league's No. 14-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 107 yards per game when on the road. New Orleans, on the other hand, rates No. 31 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Eagles were a 30-17 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Falcons. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (47) made winners of OVER bettors. In their last game, the Eagles were Week 8 losers coming out on the wrong end of 30-17 score against Atlanta.
New Orleans lost its last outing, a 34-14 result against the Broncos on October 28. The Saints failed to cover in that game as a 6-point underdog, while the 48 combined points took the game UNDER the total.
Philadelphia Eagles Trends:
When playing in November are 6-4
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6
New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in November are 10-0
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 5-5
A few Eagles at Saints trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 12 games
New Orleans is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia home to Dallas, Sunday, November 11
New Orleans home to Atlanta, Sunday, November 11