Falcons Broncos Betting: Monday Night Pick

Monday Night Football should set the stage for a quarterback duel when the Denver Broncos meet the Atlanta Falcons at the Georgia Dome.

Peyton Manning and Matt Ryan both looked outstanding in Week 1 wins over Pittsburgh and Kansas City respectively, and will look to lead their teams to a win in prime time Monday night.

Atlanta was a 3-point favorite at Sportsbook.ag and they own a curious Week 2 trend -  they are 5-0 ATS in five recent Week 2 games when playing at home.

Atlanta is 7-2 SU and 5-2-2 ATS in its last nine games at home and this matchup has historically produced OVER bets (8-1 past 9 meetings since 1981).

The Falcons are 10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS past 11 Sept home games, while the Broncos have been tough as an underdog, going  6-2 SU and ATS past 8 games in that role.


View Denver vs Atlanta Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Falcons as 3.5-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 49.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Falcons at No. 12 and the Broncos at No. 13 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 44-40 result in favor of the Falcons.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Atlanta's No. 4-ranked offense (40 PPG) against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 11 at 19 PPG. The Falcons passing attack has averaged 292 yards per game, more than the Broncos give up through the air (209 YPG on average).

The Broncos were a 31-19 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Steelers. They covered the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (50) made winners of OVER bettors. Demaryius Thomas hauled in 5 passes for 110 yards against the Pittsburgh defense in the team's last game, leading Denver over the Steelers 31-19 on Sunday.

Atlanta won its last outing, a 40-24 result against the Chiefs on September 9. The Falcons covered in that game as a 2-point favorite, while the 64 combined points took the game OVER the total. Matt Ryan dusted the Chiefs secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the Falcons defeated Kansas City 40-24 at Arrowhead Stadium.

Denver Broncos Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing outside the division are 7-3

 

A few Broncos at Falcons trends to consider:
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home

Next up:
Denver home to Houston, Sunday, September 23
Atlanta at San Diego, Sunday, September 23

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