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Falcons visit Buccaneers in Week 12 NFL clash

Atlanta FalconsTampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 25, 1:00 PM | Grass of Raymond James Stadium

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Odds

9-1TEAM RECORD6-4

The Atlanta Falcons are 6-1 SU in their last seven games against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and will look for another win Sunday when they visit the Bucs at Raymond James Stadium. Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against the Falcons despite a 4-6 SU record over that span.

Tampa Bay is just 3-6 SU and ATS in its last nine games at home. Atlanta is 4-1 SU and ATS on the road this season.

View Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Bettors looking to back the visiting Falcons in this one found them as 1.5-point favorites earlier in the week, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 48 at shops such as 5Dimes.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Buccaneers - Falcons odds would favor the Falcons if the lines were set according to power ranks. Tampa Bay is rated No. 11 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Falcons sit at No. 9. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 32-30 win for the Falcons.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Tampa Bay's No. 4-ranked offense (28.7 PPG) against a Falcons defense that ranks No. 6 at 19.3 PPG. The Buccaneers passing attack has averaged 240.4 yards per game, more than the Falcons give up through the air (216.3 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Falcons own the league's No. 24-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 127.4 yards per game when on the road. Tampa Bay, on the other hand, rates No. 19 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Atlanta won its last outing, a 23-19 result against the Cardinals on November 18. The Falcons failed to cover in that game as a 9.5-point favorite, while the 42 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Matt Ryan throttled the Cardinals defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 301 yards and 0 scores as Atlanta handed Arizona a 23-19 defeat.

Tampa Bay was a 27-21 winner in its last match on the road against the Panthers. They covered the 1-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 48 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. In their last game, the Buccaneers got 3 passing scores out of Josh Freeman en route to a 27-21 win over the Panthers on Sunday at Bank of America Stadium.

Atlanta Falcons Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 5-5

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few Falcons at Buccaneers trends to consider:
Atlanta is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Next up:
Atlanta home to New Orleans, Thursday, November 29
Tampa Bay at Denver, Sunday, December 2