Titans underdogs vs Texans in Week 4
The Houston Texans hope to stay hot when they host the Tennessee Titans this Sunday at Reliant Stadium.
Houston is 3-0 SU and ATS this season and 16-5 ATS since the beginning of 2011. Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games against Tennessee.
The Texans have been dominant as chalk, but they are favored by more than two touchdowns here. They are 12-3 ATS in their past 15 games as a favorite. And they are 7-1 ATS in 8 games within the AFC South.
Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Titans listed as 10.5-point underdogs at shops such as Bovada. Meanwhile, the over under line for the matchup was at 44 over at Sportsbook.ag.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 1-rated Texans and the No. 32-ranked Titans, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 41-10 result in favor of the Texans.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Houston's No. 5-ranked offense (29.3 PPG) against a Titans defense that ranks No. 32 at 37.7 PPG. The Texans passing attack has averaged 244.3 yards per game, less than the Titans give up through the air (312.7 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Titans own the league's No. 29-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 148 yards per game when on the road. Houston, on the other hand, rates No. 19 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
Last time out for Tennessee, they were a 44-41 winner as they battled the Lions at home. The Titans covered in the match as a 4-point underdog, while 85 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Jake Locker led his team to victory last time out, throwing for 378 yards Sunday as the Titans downed the Lions 44-41 at LP Field.
In their last action, Houston was a 31-25 winner on the road against the Broncos. They covered the 1.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (56) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Matt Schaub dusted the Broncos secondary for 4 TDs last time out as the Texans defeated Denver 31-25 at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.
Tennessee Titans Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6
Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 7-3
A few Titans at Texans trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tennessee's last 12 games when playing Houston
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Tennessee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Tennessee at Minnesota, Sunday, October 7
Houston at NY Jets, Monday, October 8