The New Orleans Saints are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last three meetings with the New York Giants and will try to add another win to that streak Sunday when they visit the Giants at MetLife Stadium.
New Orleans has won each of its last three games against New York by at least 20 points each.
But with the Giants riding a losing streak, is this a spot for New York to easily cover? And if the defense clamps down, does the UNDER trend which has prevailed lately in Giants games continue?
Indeed, the UNDER is 7-1 in the past 8 Giants home games and its 11-3 the past 14 times the Giants were favored.
New York is 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS over its last eight home games. Overall, the total has gone UNDER in four of New Orleans' last six games and in six of New York's last seven.
Sportsbooks, including Sportsbook.ag, had set the Giants as 5-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 53 earlier in the week (check for the current over-under lines).
Power Rankings / Prediction:
It's a betting matchup between the No. 12-rated Giants and the No. 29-ranked Saints, according to the NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 32-25 result in favor of the Giants.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New York's No. 5-ranked offense (26.8 PPG) against a Saints defense that ranks No. 28 at 27.2 PPG. The Giants passing attack has averaged 256.3 yards per game, less than the Saints give up through the air (286.7 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Saints feature the league's No. 32-rated road run defense, allowing 148.7 yards per game. New York, meanwhile, ranks No. 14 in rushing offense at home.
New Orleans was a 23-13 loser in its last match on the road against the Falcons. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 36 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Drew Brees's 341-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Atlanta earned a 23-13 win over New Orleans on Thursday at Georgia Dome.
New York lost its last outing, a 17-16 result against the Redskins on December 3. The Giants failed to cover in that game as a 2.5-point favorite, while the 33 combined points took the game UNDER the total. In their last game, New York got a 103-yard performance from Ahmad Bradshaw, but Washington prevailed 17-16.
New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 4-6
New York Giants Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few Saints at Giants trends to consider:
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans's last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Giants last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the NY Giants last 9 games at home
New Orleans home to Tampa Bay, Sunday, December 16
NY Giants at Atlanta, Sunday, December 16