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Jonny Knows Picks: NFL Edition Week 13

December is here and just a friendly reminder to check the weather before you make your wagers, bettors.

And don't forget your mittens before venturing outdoors. 

I went 4-2 last week and have a good little stretch of winning weeks going. I'm now 26-32-4 on the season.

Here's a look at this week:  

Cowboys at Vikings +4, 44 

  • As you would expect, over 70 percent of the money is on the Cowboys 
  • Dak Prescott first Cowboys rookie QB to be named offensive player of the month
  • Cowboys failed to cover last week for the first time in 10 games. 
  • We have a coach on the injury report. Special Teams coordinator Mike Priefer will coach Vikings tonight. 
  • Cowboys have 5th toughest schedule remaining according to records this season. 

Pick:Vikings +4 

Dolphins at Ravens -3, 40.5 

  • Dolphins covered by just a half point last week vs. 49ers, who are the second worst bet in the NFL this season
  • Miami has won six straight games and covered five of those. But last week’s game is a sign to me that odds are adjusting and they have a bunch of injuries on both sides of the ball.  
  • Ravens have covered the last six meetings with the Dolphins. 
  • Baltimore is the only team in the NFL that hasn’t missed a field goal this season and this could be a game decided by field goals. 

Pick: Ravens 

Redskins at Cardinals -2.5, 49 

  • Matchup of the hottest bet in the NFL (Redskins 4-0 ATS) vs. the second coldest bet in the NFL (Cardinals 0-5 ATS) 
  • More than 70 percent of the bets coming in on the Skins by late week and I think the majority is correct here. 
  • Redskins are 5-1 ATS as an underdog this season and have covered 8 of the last 9 games. 
  • Washington No. 2 offense in the NFL 

Pick: Washington 

Giants at Steelers -6, 48

  • I don’t really understand this one. The Steelers beat the Browns and an Andrew-Luck-less Colts team and suddenly they’re 6-point faves over a Giants team that’s won six in a row. 
  • I do think we’ll see some points in this one. Both teams rely almost exclusively on the pass this season and I think we’ll see it go over the number.

Pick: OVER

Houston at Green Bay -6.5, 44.5

Green Bay opened -3.5. Huge line move. I think it’s an overreaction to one game on Monday Night Football. Snow and freezing temperatures are expected for this game. 
Pick: Houston, UNDER

Broncos at Jacksonville +4, 39

  • Most popular play of the week is Broncos. Over 80 percent of bets are on Denver here.  
  • Denver coming off maybe the most heart wrenching loss of the NFL season last Sunday night and starting QB Trevor Simien questionable with a foot injury. 
  • Broncos have one of the worst O-line’s in the NFL this season. 4th worst in sacks per play this season and rushing for just 87 yds/gm over its last three. 
  • Jags have lost six in a row but their last four losses have all been by a TD or less. 

Pick: Jacksonville

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