Lions host 49ers in Week 6 action
The Lions are 5-0 and the 49ers are coming off a 48-3 victory - something crazy is going on with the NFL these days.
Past trends may not mean much given the resurgence of both franchises this year, but if they do, this is a game the 49ers will win. They have beaten the Lions seven straight since 1996, with none of those games going OVER the total (6-0-1 favoring the UNDER).
Detroit is now on a 9-0-1 ATS run while San Francisco, which heads into a bye week, has also been reliable with bettors' cash, going 5-0-1 ATS in their past six outings.
Many betting experts feel the 49ers are overvalued here and are betting the Lions hard.
On the opening line for this matchup the Lions sit as 6-point favorites . The total, meanwhile, has been pegged by the oddsmakers at 47 and now sits at 46 at shops such as TopBet.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Lions at No. 9 and the 49ers at No. 10 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 37-36 result in favor of the Lions. If it's a rout by halftime, you can wave the white towel, give back your bet and get half your stake back at BetOnline as well in a cool promotion.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Detroit's No. 4-ranked offense, averaging 31.8 PPG, against a 49ers defense that ranks No. 2 this week at 15.6 PPG. The Lions aerial game is averaging 283.8 yards per game, more than the 49ers secondary allows through the air, 264.4 YPG per game.
Defensively, the 49ers feature the league's No. 10-rated road run defense, allowing 93.5 yards per game. Detroit, meanwhile, ranks No. 8 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, San Francisco was a 48-3 winner at home against the Buccaneers. They covered the 2.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (51) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Alex Smith dusted the Buccaneers secondary for 3 TDs last time out as the 49ers defeated Tampa Bay 48-3 at Candlestick Park.
In their last action, Detroit was a 24-13 winner at home against the Bears. They covered the 6.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (37) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, Detroit got a 163-yard performance from Jahvid Best as a key part of its 24-13 win over Chicago.
San Francisco 49ers Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5
Detroit Lions Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few 49ers at Lions trends to consider:
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Detroit is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
San Francisco home to Cleveland, Sunday, October 30
Detroit home to Atlanta, Sunday, October 23