Lions vs Packers Thursday Preview
The Green Bay Packers look for an 11-0 start against a team they have dominated the past decade.
The Pack is 17-3 SU in their past 20 meetings with the Lions, but lost here 7-3 a year ago in the game where Aaron Rodgers was lost to a concussion. In four prior trips to Detroit, they averaged nearly 40 PPG.
Green Bay has won eight straight road games while the Lions are 6-1 ATS past 7 games as an underdog (OVER is 10-2-1 past 13 when they are dogged by sportsbooks.
The Packers are 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS their past 19 games as chalk (that Detroit loss was the only blemish).
Sportsbooks have set the Lions as 7-point underdogs on the opening line for this contest. The total is listed at 56 with the best UNDER number expected to sit at TopBet this week.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 11-rated Lions and the No. 8-rated Packers in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 41-35 win for the Packers on Thursday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Detroit's No. 3-ranked offense (30.1 PPG) against a Packers defense that ranks No. 15 at 21.2 PPG. The Lions passing attack has averaged 272.4 yards per game, less than the Packers give up through the air (289.3 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Packers feature the league's No. 6-rated road run defense, allowing 96.4 yards per game. Detroit, meanwhile, ranks No. 15 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Green Bay was a 35-26 winner at home against the Buccaneers. They failed to cover the 13.5–point spread as favorites, while the combined score (61) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In their last game, the Packers got 3 passing scores out of Aaron Rodgers en route to a 35-26 win over the Buccaneers on Sunday at Lambeau Field.
Last time out for Detroit, they were a 49-35 winner as they battled the Panthers at home. The Lions covered in the match as a 7-point favorite, while 84 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. Detroit comes off a game where it received a 5-TD performance from Matthew Stafford in defeating the Panthers 49-35.
Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in November are 8-2
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the division are 8-2
Detroit Lions Trends:
When playing in November are 2-8
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 4-6
A few Packers at Lions trends to consider:
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Green Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Detroit is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Detroit is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Green Bay at NY Giants, Sunday, December 4
Detroit at New Orleans, Sunday, December 4