Week 1 NFL Betting Odds with Pick - New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints

vs

Atlanta Falcons
Sunday, September 07, 2014 1:00 PM ET
Georgia Dome

 

The New Orleans Saints have won 13 of their last 16 games against the Atlanta Falcons SU and 12 of their past 16 games against fellow NFC South teams SU as those squads hit the gridiron together in Week 1 NFL betting action on Sunday afternoon.

New Orleans, however, was just 1-7 ATS on the road during the regular season last year, while the Falcons are on a 5-0 ATS run when starting the season at home. The last five games between the two division rivals turned out to be UNDER results on the NFL totals.

The Saints are 13-3 SU past 16 vs Falcons, who own a couple of negative trends (1-7 SU past eight games as home underdogs and 1-7 SU past eight divisional games). The Saints meanwhile are 12-4 SU past 16 divisional games.

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Opening Odds and Betting Line

Bettors who were going with the Atlanta Falcons in this one found them listed as 1-point underdogs on the betting line, but bet up to -2.5 midweek over at Bovada. Fans betting on totals have seen that number set earlier in the week at 51.5 for Sunday at GTbets.eu.

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Computer Prediction: New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Pick

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 27-17 win for the Saints. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Odds and Stats.

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Atlanta Falcons sport a record of 4-12 and 7-9 ATS heading into this betting matchup, while the New Orleans Saints sit at 12-6 and 10-7-1 ATS on the season. The over under totals records are 9-7 for the Falcons and 6-12 for the Saints. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Atlanta vs New Orleans injuries news.

The Atlanta Falcons sit at No. 25 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, while the New Orleans Saints are at No. 4 on that chart.

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How New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Stats Matchup

The game also pits Atlanta's No. 20-ranked offense, averaging 22.06 PPG, against a Saints defense that ranks No. 4 this week at 19.5 PPG. The Falcons aerial game is averaging 265.19 yards per game, more than the Saints secondary allows through the air, 188 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the New Orleans Saints own the league's No. 24-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 129 yards per game when on the road. Atlanta, on the other hand, rates No. 32 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

New Orleans was a 23-15 loser in its last match on the road against the Seahawks. They covered the 9-point spread as underdogs, while the total score of 38 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Drew Brees's 309-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Seattle earned a 23-15 win over New Orleans on Saturday at CenturyLink Field.

In their last action, Atlanta was a 21-20 loser at home against the Panthers. They covered the 5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (41) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The Falcons's last action saw them get a 2-TD performance from Matt Ryan, but they were handed a 21-20 loss by Carolina at Georgia Dome.

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds Trends

New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games
New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New Orleans at Cleveland, Sunday, September 14th
Atlanta at Cincinnati, Sunday, September 14th

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