Miami comes off a bye week to face the division-rival New York Jets, a team they have beaten ATS the past three times (all as an underdog).
The Dolphins are 5-2 ATS in their past seven post-bye games on the road and that is the situation on the Monday Night odds menu where the roadies open as 9-point underdogs. Miami is winless SU and ATS so far in 2011.
The Jets, meanwhile, return home after getting smacked in three straight weeks on the road. They are 9-3 ATS in their past 12 games when favored by 9 or more points. [ FREE $10 MNF BET - CHECK IT OUT AT TopBet }
The visitors opened as 6-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark, while the total was hovering around 41 at most shops. TopBet has the best UNDER line of the week among sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark.com.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Jets at No. 24 and the Dolphins at No. 21 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 22-14 result in favor of the Jets.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New York's No. 13-ranked offense, averaging 24.2 PPG, against a Dolphins defense that ranks No. 24 this week at 26 PPG. The Jets aerial game is averaging 221.2 yards per game, less than the Dolphins secondary allows through the air, 307 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Dolphins feature the league's No. 8-rated road run defense, allowing 93 yards per game. New York, meanwhile, ranks No. 31 in rushing offense at home.
Miami lost its last outing, a 26-16 result against the Chargers on October 2. The Dolphins failed to cover in that game as a 6.5-point underdog, while the 42 combined points took the game UNDER the total. The Dolphins suffered a Week 4 loss against San Diego in their last game, falling 26-16 at Qualcomm Stadium.
In their last action, New York was a 30-21 loser on the road against the Patriots. They failed to cover the 7.5–point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (51) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Jets's last action saw them get a 2-TD performance from Mark Sanchez, but they were handed a 30-21 loss by New England at Gillette Stadium.
Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 3-7
New York Jets Trends:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 6-4
A few Dolphins at Jets trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the NY Jets last 7 games
NY Jets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
NY Jets are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Miami
NY Jets are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games when playing Miami
Miami home to Denver, Sunday, October 23
NY Jets home to San Diego, Sunday, October 23