NFL Betting Trends: Week 2
The Patriots (-14) look like a potential blowout winner against the Jets on Thursday night, but make note chalk-eaters: Bill Belichick's boys are mired in a 6-16 ATS run as a double-digit home favorite.
However, the Fly Boys haven't covered as a double-digit pup since 2006, coincidentally against the Pats. Confused? Ignore the side and play the over, as the last seven meetings have gone high.
Some of the other top trends that stand out this week (lines courtesy of 5Dimes):
St. Louis covering 12 of its last 15 when installed as an underdog, as the Rams are catching 7.5 in Atlanta. The last five meetings have gone over. The total is 47.5.
Defending Super Bowl champion Baltimore is laying 7 at home to Cleveland, and appears to be the play after getting thumped by Denver in Week 1. The Ravens check into this AFC North rivalry on winning runs of 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS against the Browns.
Carolina at an advantage against a Bills team that is in a 2-16 straight-up slide as an underdog, while the road team has covered the past four battles. The Panthers are laying 2.5.
The Bears have won and covered 6 of their last 7 against Minnesota, which is on additional skids of 1-11 SU and 2-9-1 at Soldier Field. Chicago is -7.
While the Packers have won eight straight road games and have covered five of them, keep in mind the visiting Redskins were 6-2 at the road window last season. Green Bay is -9.
Houston has gone over in 17 of its last 21 September games. The total in its game against Tennessee is 43.
Miami, which is catching 2.5 in Indianapolis, has covered 6 of its last 7 visits to Indianapolis. Conversely, the Colts have won six straight as a favorite, while covering five of those games.
Dallas and Kansas City opened up a pick'em, but bettors have favored the Chiefs and moved the line to 2.5. That's not necessarily something the betting trends agree with, as K.C. is in a 1-6 spread stupor when laying points at home.
The Chargers and Eagles could be a shootout, as the Bolts tend to electrify when travelling this month, with an 8-2 over run on the highway in September. San Diego (+7) is also on a 9-1-1 over streak when installed as the road pup. The total is 54.5.
While Detroit has failed to cover 10 of its last 13 road games, with one push sandwiched in, the Lions and Cardinals have gone over in 9 of the last 10 meetings. The line is a pick, while the total is 47.5.
New Orleans is laying -3.5 in Tampa Bay, and the Saints are in on a 6-1 ATS win streak as the chalk. The under is also on an 8-1 run when these two date. The total is 47.
Big brother Peyton Manning and his Broncos are laying 4.5 on the road to little bro Eli and the Giants, marking just the sixth time they've been home dogs since 2006. In the first five games, Big Blue is 4-1 ATS.
Oakland, which is laying 5.5 to visiting Jacksonville, is on a horrendous 4-15-1 slide when installed as the favorite.
In the late game Sunday, the Seahawks (-3 versus San Francisco) have covered 10 of their last 11 at home, while the 49ers have dropped 5 of 6 to the books when visiting Seattle.
On Monday, in AFC North action, several numbers stand out, including the Bengals' 1-10-1 ATS slide when hosting Pittsburgh and their 1-4 spread skid on Monday Night Football. On the flipside, the Black and Gold isn't that much better, with a 3-9 ATS skid on the highway. As for the total, the Steelers have stayed low in 7 of their last 10 Monday night appearances. Cincinnati is -7.5, while the total is 41.