NFL favorites roll and books suffer
The St. Louis Rams covered the spread as a double-digit home underdog against the Seattle Seahawks on Monday night, helping books salvage what had been their worst NFL week of the season. But with favorites covering in eight of 13 games, it was still a tough week for the books.
With the Rams covering, double-digit home underdogs have covered the spread in 19 of the 21 games. Double-digit favorites overall last week went 3-1, with the San Francisco 49ers, New Orleans Saints, and Denver Broncos each covering big numbers. The 49ers pounded the Jacksonville Jaguars, 42-10, in London. The Saints overwhelmed the Buffalo Bills, 35-17, in the Superdome, and have now covered the spread in 17 of their last 21 home games. The Broncos pulled away from the Washington Redskins, 45-21.
The Green Bay Packers’ 44-31 win over the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday night may have been the biggest loss for the books. Bovada told OddShark.com that they had received lopsided action on the Packers heading into the weekend.
Favorites won 11 of the 13 games straight-up, with only the Oakland Raiders and New York Giants pulling off outright upsets. The Raiders beat the Pittsburgh Steelers, 21-18, as 2.5-point underdogs. The Giants went into Philadelphia and won, 15-7, as 13.5-point favorites.
Not only did favorites hurt the books, but eight of 13 games went OVER the total. All eight of the Broncos’ games have gone OVER the total.
On the season, favorites are now 63-54-3 against the spread. Home favorites are 42-31-3 ATS, with home teams overall going 65-52-3 ATS. There have been 66 OVERs and 54 UNDERs
Odds & Ends
Five teams have covered the spread in each of their home games: The Saints (4-0 ATS), Bills (4-0 ATS), Cincinnati Bengals (4-0 ATS), Dallas Cowboys (4-0), and San Diego Chargers (3-0 ATS).
Two teams have covered the spread in each of their road games: The Tennessee Titans (3-0 ATS) and Kansas City Chiefs (3-0 ATS). The Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers are both 0-3 ATS on the road.