NFL Matchup - Jets Dolphins Odds Preview
|Miami Dolphins||New York Jets|
At the moment in the AFC six teams tied for the second wild-card spot at 5-6.
Two of those teams are the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets, who meet for the 95th time in this series Sunday afternoon in New Jersey (1 pm ET, CBS).
Miami just lost to Carolina on a late Cam Newton touchdown pass 20-16. But the 'Fins have covered the spread in three of their last four games.
New York just lost at Baltimore 19-3, managing just 220 yards of offense. So the Jets are 1-3 ATS over their last four games.
These two teams have split their season series the last three seasons. As of early this week New York was favored by a point and a half over Miami at Bovada.
Some trends of note for Jets-Dolphins bettors include the Dolphins at 4-1 ATS past five visits to play Jets; the Dolphins 2-7 ATS past nine road games; the Jets are 4-1 ATS past five home games and the OVER is 6-1 past seven Jets divisional home games.
The Jets currently sport a record of 5-6, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 6-5 ATS. The Dolphins are 5-6 and 6-5 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Jets post a 7-4 over under record this season, while the Dolphins have gone 6-5 against the number.
Bettors who were going with the Jets in this one found them listed as 3-point favorites on the betting line at 5Dimes. Totals bettors have seen that number set earlier in the week at 38.5 at [custom:gtbets] for Sunday.
The game pits the Jets, currently No. 31 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Dolphins, who rate No. 21 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 19-11 victory for the Dolphins.
Last time out for Miami, they were a 20-16 loser as they battled the Panthers at home. The Dolphins covered in the match as a 4.5-point underdog, while 36 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Jets were Week 12 losers coming out on the wrong end of 19-3 score against Baltimore.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits New York's No. 31-ranked offense, averaging 16.91 PPG, against a Dolphins defense that ranks No. 10 this week at 22.27 PPG. The Jets aerial game is averaging 188.27 yards per game, less than the Dolphins secondary allows through the air, 234.73 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Dolphins own the league's No. 13-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 108 yards per game when on the road. New York, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Dolphins at Jets trends to consider:
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
NY Jets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Jets is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami at Pittsburgh, Sunday, December 8th
New York home to Oakland, Sunday, December 8th