Sometimes it’s just that simple - betting NFL teams coming off a bye week is a money-maker.
Since 1994, teams coming off a bye week have covered the spread in 57.6 percent of games (271-199-15 ATS), an impressive mark that, at a minimum, will challenge any NFL betting system out there.
Some organizations capitalize on the bye weeks better than others and have beaten the spread consistently for decades. As we inch closer and closer to the kickoff of the 2013-14 NFL season, let’s take a look at a few teams to consider after their bye weeks.
Denver Broncos: The Broncos have covered the spread in 14 of their last 19 games off a bye. This season they’ll travel to San Diego on November 10, after their bye week. You know the cerebral combination of coach John Fox and quarterback Peyton Manning will make the most out of the extra week to prepare. Last season, with Fox and Manning, the Broncos easily covered as six-point favorites over the New Orleans Saints after their bye week.
Dallas Cowboys: The Cowboys are also 14-5 against the spread coming off a bye, tied with the Broncos for the best such mark in the league. They’ve covered in two of three games after byes under coach Jason Garrett, including two straight. This season, the Cowboys host the New York Giants after their bye week in November.
Buffalo Bills: Somewhat surprisingly, the Bills have been solid after their bye, going 13-5-1 against the spread in those games since 1994. Will new head coach Doug Marrone be able to keep that trend going in his first season? It won’t be easy. The Bills host the Atlanta Falcons on December 1, after their bye week this year.
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|Teams after bye|| ATS W|| ATS L|| P|
|Denver|| ||14||5|| |
|Dallas|| ||14||5|| |
|Philadelphia ||13||6|| |
|New Orleans||12||7|| |
|NY Jets|| ||12||8|| |
|Arizona|| ||11||8|| |
|Kansas City||11||8|| |
|St. Louis|| ||11||8|| |
|Tampa Bay ||11||8|| |
|Atlanta|| ||8||11|| |
|Carolina|| ||8||10|| |
|Oakland|| ||8||11|| |
|San Diego||8||10|| |
|Houston|| ||6||4|| |
|NY Giants|| ||6||12||1|