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Packers Saints Betting Preview for Week 4

Look for plenty of offense Sunday when the winless New Orleans Saints visit the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.

Since 1995, all six meetings between these two teams have gone OVER the total, including last season's 42-34 Green Bay victory. The total has gone OVER in four of New Orleans' last six road games and in seven of Green Bay's last eight home games.

The total was sitting around 54, high by NFL standards, but these teams have played six straight head-to-head OVERs. The desperate Saints are just 1-4 ATS in five trips to Lambeau since 1985 and in four games since 2005 when they were dogs of 9 points, they have never won.

View New Orleans vs Green Bay Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Those siding with the visitors in this matchup saw the Saints open as 5-point underdogs, but quickly bet up to -9 at 5Dimes. Meanwhile, the over under line for the matchup was at over at 54 Sportsbook.ag.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 16 (Packers) and the No. 30 (Saints) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 26-18 result in favor of the Packers is predicted by handicapping models.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Green Bay's No. 26-ranked offense (19 PPG) against a Saints defense that ranks No. 30 at 34 PPG. The Packers passing attack has averaged 226 yards per game, less than the Saints give up through the air (262.3 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Saints own the league's No. 31-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 219 yards per game when on the road. Green Bay, on the other hand, rates No. 24 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

The Saints were a 27-24 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Chiefs. They failed to cover the 8-point spread as favorites, while the total score (51) made winners of UNDER bettors. Drew Brees beat the Chiefs secondary for 3 TDs last time out, but the Saints lost to Kansas City 27-24 at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

Green Bay was a 14-12 loser in its last match on the road against the Seahawks. They failed to cover the 3-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 26 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. The Packers suffered a Week 3 loss against Seattle in their last game, falling 14-12 at CenturyLink Field.

New Orleans Saints Trends:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Green Bay Packers Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 6-4

 

A few Saints at Packers trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
New Orleans is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Green Bay is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Green Bay's last 8 games at home

Next up:
New Orleans home to San Diego, Sunday, October 7
Green Bay at Indianapolis, Sunday, October 7