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Patriots and OVER in Monday Night Odds

The first Monday Nighter could be a sportsbook’s worst nightmare – a game that trends suggest will go OVER the total and be covered by the favorite.

But after a Week 1 full of upsets, perhaps the oddsmakers are not too worried about the Patriots vs Dolphins Monday Night Football odds.

New England is 7-3 ATS in their past 10 Monday Nighter road games. And they killed the Dolphins 41-14 here last October on MNF. In fact, they have scored 41 or more points in three of their past four visits to Miami. (The best Patriots line early Monday was -7, -110 at BetOnline).

The OVER is also 7-1 the past 8 Week 1 games when the Pats are on the road. Both of those scenarios seem to point to a Patriots cover and OVER bet. [ Patriots vs Dolphins Matchup Trends ]

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For Miami, they are a woeful 1-5-1 ATS in their past seven openers and 0-7 ATS in their past seven September home games. Looking at the Dolphins on Monday Nights, the OVER has prevailed 9 of the past 11 MNF games at home.

Handicapping models run by the OddsShark.com computer geeks are predicting a 35-19 win for the Pats, more than enough to cover the 7-point spread. That would easily force the game OVER the total (which you can get at 45.5 at 5Dimes today). And nearly 70% of the visitors to OddsShark.com are pegging the Patriots to cover here.

Monday Night Football Odds – Dolphins vs Patriots Props courtesy of Bovada (visit them for hundreds of player props Monday).

(NE vs MIA) - Team to score first in the game 

New England Patriots     -170

Miami Dolphins                 +140

(NE vs MIA) - The first score of the game will be?

Touchdown                        -180

Field Goal or Safety         +150

 (NE vs MIA) - Will there be a score in the first 7 min 30 seconds of the 1st quarter?

Yes         -145

No          +115

(NE vs MIA) - Total Team Points - New England Patriots

Over Points        27

(-135)o

(+105)u

(NE vs MIA) - Total Team Points - Miami Dolphins

Over Points        19½

(-120)o

(-110)u

(NE vs MIA) - Total 1st Half Team Points - New England Patriots

Over 1st Half Points        14

(-120)o

(-110)u

(NE vs MIA) - Total 1st Half Team Points - Miami Dolphins

Over 1st Half Points        9½

(-120)o

(-110)u

(NE vs MIA) - Longest Touchdown in the Game 

Over Yards          46

(-115)o

(-115)u

(NE vs MIA) - Total QB Sacks in the game

Over Sacks          4

(-110)o

(-120)u

(NE vs MIA) - Will either team score 3 unanswered times in the game?

Yes         -210

No          +170

(NE vs MIA) - Will there be a Special Teams or Defensive Touchdown scored in the game?

Yes         +145

No          -175