Chargers Colts MNF Betting Pick
The Indianapolis Colts head west to take on the San Diego Chargers in a Monday night game the betting market sees as a toss-up.
The Chargers opened as 3-point favorites, but the early action was on the Colts, shrinking the point spread to pick ‘em to start the week.
The Colts are coming off a big won over the Seattle Seahawks. Andrew Luck and company have knocked off the San Francisco 49ers and Seahawks, the two Super Bowl favorites in the NFC.
The Chargers are coming off a bad loss against the Oakland Raiders in a late game on Sunday night. San Diego’s defense is struggling and ranks 26th against the pass and 24th against the run.
These two teams last met 2010, with the Chargers winning 36-14 at Indianapolis.
The Chargers currently sports a record of 2-3, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 3-1-1 ATS. The Colts are 4-1 and 3-2 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Chargers post a 3-2 over under record this season, while the Colts have gone 2-3 against the number.
The game pits the Chargers, currently No. 17 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Colts, who rate No. 7 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 33-21 victory for the Colts.
The Colts were a 34-28 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Seahawks. They covered the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (62) made winners of OVER bettors. Philip Rivers handled the Raiders defense in his team's most recent action, throwing for 411 yards and 2 scores, but San Diego still lost to Oakland 27-17.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits San Diego's No. 12-ranked offense, averaging 25 PPG, against a Colts defense that ranks No. 5 this week at 15.8 PPG. The Chargers aerial game is averaging 311.2 yards per game, more than the Colts secondary allows through the air, 201.4 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Colts feature the league's No. 23-rated road run defense, allowing 124.67 yards per game. San Diego, meanwhile, ranks No. 22 in rushing offense at home.
A few Colts at Chargers trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Indianapolis at Denver, Sunday, October 20th
San Diego at Jacksonville, Sunday, October 20th