St. Louis Rams vs Chicago Bears in NFL odds tilt
|Chicago Bears||St. Louis Rams|
The Chicago Bears are now 2-0 with Josh McCown starting at quarterback this season, after grinding out a tough win over Baltimore last Sunday.
With Jay Cutler expected to miss another start Chicago will go with McCown again when it heads down to St. Louis to take on the Rams Sunday afternoon at the Jones Dome (1 pm ET, Fox).
At 6-4 Chicago is tied for first place in the NFC North with Detroit, although the Lions hold the head-to-head tie-breaker, having swept the season series from the Bears.
On the other side of this match-up 4-6 St. Louis is 2-1 ATS with Kellen Clemens subbing at quarterback for the injured Sam Bradford. Last time out the Rams shocked the Colts in Indianapolis 38-8.
The Bears beat St. Louis last year at Soldier Field 23-6.
Most books (including BetOnline opened this game as a pick 'em, but then moved the Rams to -1.
Trends for this matchup include the Bears are 5-1 ATS past six games vs Rams; seven of past nine meetings played UNDER the total; nine of past 11 Bears road games played OVER the total; seven of past nine Rams home games played OVER the total and the Rams are 5-1 ATS past 6 seasons after a bye week.
They battle the Bears, currently with a 6-4 mark (2-7-1 ATS). The over under records, important for totals bettors, are 8-2 for the Rams and 7-3 for the Bears.
Bettors looking to back the visiting Bears in this one found them as a PK earlier in the week, while the total was settling in the neighborhood of 46 at shops such as 5Dimes.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Rams rated this week at No. 21 and the Bears sitting at No. 11. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 25-22 result in favor of the Bears this week.
In their last action, Chicago was a 23-20 winner at home against the Ravens. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (43) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Tavon Austin hauled in 2 passes for 138 yards against the Indianapolis defense in the team's last game, leading St. Louis over the Colts 38-8 on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits St. Louis's No. 19-ranked offense, averaging 22.4 PPG, against a Bears defense that ranks No. 26 this week at 26.7 PPG. The Rams aerial game is averaging 217.1 yards per game, less than the Bears secondary allows through the air, 239.1 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Bears own the league's No. 32-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 161.75 yards per game when on the road. St. Louis, on the other hand, rates No. 15 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Bears at Rams trends to consider:
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 12 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games
St. Louis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Chicago at Minnesota, Sunday, December 1st
St. Louis at San Francisco, Sunday, December 1st