Steelers host Browns Thursday NFL
One of the most one-sided matchups on the Week 14 odds menu is the Cleveland Browns visiting nemesis Pittsburgh, a team that has beaten them 14 of the past 15 times.
The Steelers are favored big and are 8-1 SU in their past 9 at home. However the Steelers have lost ATS the past 3 games as double-digit favorite and the NFL scores prediction computer picks a 24-13 final, which would be a Cleveland cover.
The OVER has been the best bet in Browns Steelers matchup of late in Pitt (7-1-1 past 9 meetings). The Steelers are also 8-2 SU and ATS past 10 within the AFC North, while the Browns have struggled to a 1-7 ATS mark in the same divisional situation. [ Check out Big Ben's odds to finish second in MVP balloting, visit Bovada ]
Oddsmakers opened the Steelers as 14-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 39.5. See the latest lines at BetOnline (up to $900 in total bonuses, check the fine print for details).
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The game pits the Steelers, currently No. 2 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Browns, who rate No. 26 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 24-13 victory for the Steelers.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Pittsburgh's No. 18-ranked offense (22.3 PPG) against a Browns defense that ranks No. 8 at 20 PPG. The Steelers passing attack has averaged 256.1 yards per game, more than the Browns give up through the air (173.3 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Browns own the league's No. 31-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 165.4 yards per game when on the road. Pittsburgh, on the other hand, rates No. 8 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Browns were a 24-10 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Ravens. They failed to cover the 7–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (34) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Browns suffered a Week 13 loss against Baltimore in their last game, falling 24-10 at Cleveland Browns Stadium.
The Steelers were a 35-7 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Bengals. They covered the 7–point spread as favorites, while the total score (42) made winners of UNDER bettors.
Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 2-8
Pittsburgh Steelers Trends:
When playing in December are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 8-2
A few Browns at Steelers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Cleveland at Arizona, Sunday, December 18
Pittsburgh at San Francisco, Monday, December 19