Texans vs Colts: Sunday Betting
Coming off a bye week, the Houston Texans are in salvage mode. After starting the season as Super Bowl contenders, the Texans are 2-5 straight-up, 1-6 against the spread and couldn’t have looked much worse.
The Indianapolis Colts, who visit the Texans on Sunday night, couldn’t have been much more impressive. They own wins over the San Francisco 49ers, Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos. The Colts began the week as around 2.5-point road favorites.
The Texans are 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 home games against the Colts. The two AFC South rivals split last season’s meetings, with each team winning on its home field.
QB Case Keenum is expected to make his second start for the Texans, with Matt Schaub battling a lingering ankle injury.
There is a rend conflict between these regarding bye weeks. The Colts played OVER in 9 of 11 post-bye week games, while the Texans are UNDER (8-1 past 9 seasons) after a bye week.
The Colts are 4-3 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Texans are 1-6 ATS. Indianapolis is 3-4 against the total, while Houston is 4-3 versus the number.
This game matches up the No. 22 (Texans) and the No. 8 (Colts) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 28-11 result in favor of the Colts is predicted by handicapping models.
In their last action, Indianapolis was a 39-33 winner at home against the Broncos. They covered the 6.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (72) was profitable news for OVER bettors. The Texans suffered a Week 7 loss against Kansas City in their last game, falling 17-16 at Arrowhead Stadium.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Houston's No. 30-ranked offense (17.43 PPG) against a Colts defense that ranks No. 8 at 18.71 PPG. The Texans passing attack has averaged 253.43 yards per game, more than the Colts give up through the air (228.43 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Colts feature the league's No. 12-rated road run defense, allowing 100.67 yards per game. Houston, meanwhile, ranks No. 2 in rushing offense at home.
A few Colts at Texans trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games
Indianapolis is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Houston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Indianapolis at St. Louis, Sunday, November 10th
Houston at Arizona, Sunday, November 10th