Monday Night Football: Pats vs Texans
The New England Patriots host the Houston Texans this Monday Night at Gillette Stadium and both teams enter the game with six-game winning streaks.
New England is 3-2-1 ATS over its 6-0 streak while Houston is 4-2 ATS.
Overall, the Patriots are 19-1 SU past 20 games in December, while the Texans are a perfect 6-0 ATS recently as an underdog.
Houston is 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS over its last 12 road games with six straight road wins. New England is 21-4 SU over its last 25 home games but is just 2-5 ATS over its last seven.
The computer has picked a 40-37 Pats win.
Bettors looking to side with the Patriots in this one found them as 4-point favorites earlier in the week at Sportsbook.ag, while the total was sitting at 52.5. See tons of player props and live betting options at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Patriots sit at No. 3 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Texans are at No. 1 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Patriots will win this game 40-37.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up New England's No. 1-ranked offense (35.8 PPG) against a Texans defense that ranks No. 4 at 18.4 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 285.5 yards per game, more than the Texans give up through the air (235 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Texans feature the league's No. 4-rated road run defense, allowing 83.8 yards per game. New England, meanwhile, ranks No. 7 in rushing offense at home.
In their last action, Houston was a 24-10 winner on the road against the Titans. They covered the 7-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (34) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. Matt Schaub passed for 2 touchdowns in his team's last game in leading the Texans past Tennessee 24-10 on Sunday.
In their last action, New England was a 23-16 winner on the road against the Dolphins. They earned a push of the 7-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (39) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last gridiron battle, Wes Welker did much of the damage, producing 103 receiving yards as New England beat the Dolphins 23-16 at Sun Life Stadium.
Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in December are 4-6
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2
New England Patriots Trends:
When playing in December are 10-0
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 6-4
A few Texans at Patriots trends to consider:
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England's last 10 games
New England is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games at home
Houston home to Indianapolis, Sunday, December 16
New England home to San Francisco, Sunday, December 16