The Houston Texans open as small road favorites as they visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 10 NFL odds action.
The Texans have been a great bet lately in this situation, rolling to a 6-1 ATS mark in their past 7 games as a favorite. The UNDER has also prevailed in 6 straight of those games.
But while Tampa has lost three of four, they have been playing much tougher competition and that strength of schedule factor could be a benefit in helping them cover the point spread here.
View Houston vs Tampa Bay Odds and Stats.
Betting Line:
The visitors opened as 3.5-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark, while the total was hovering around 45.5 at most shops. See the latest Arian Foster rushing yard prop odds and plenty more NFL betting options at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
According to the Power Rankings here at OddsShark it's the No. 25-rated Buccaneers and the No. 1-rated Texans in this matchup. Predictive formulas point to a 30-16 win for the Texans on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Tampa Bay's No. 24-ranked offense (18.4 PPG) against a Texans defense that ranks No. 3 at 17.4 PPG. The Buccaneers passing attack has averaged 245.4 yards per game, more than the Texans give up through the air (182.6 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Texans feature the league's No. 8-rated road run defense, allowing 104.8 yards per game. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, ranks No. 23 in rushing offense at home.
Houston won its last outing, a 30-12 result against the Browns on November 6. The Texans covered in that game as a 10.5-point favorite, while the 42 combined points took the game UNDER the total. Cleveland was unable to contain Arian Foster in its last action Sunday and the result was a 30-12 Week 9 loss against the Texans.
The Buccaneers were a 27-16 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Saints. They failed to cover the 8–point spread as underdogs, while the total score (43) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Buccaneers were Week 9 losers coming out on the wrong end of 27-16 score against New Orleans.
Houston Texans Trends:
When playing in November are 3-7
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 3-7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Trends:
When playing in November are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 5-5
A few Texans at Buccaneers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home
Tampa Bay is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 games at home
Next up:
Houston at Jacksonville, Sunday, November 27
Tampa Bay at Green Bay, Sunday, November 20
