After a shocking 12-2 ATS run in its first week picking NFL winners, our computer fell to 9-7 ATS last week.
But where it dominated on point spreads two weeks ago, last week it dominated over unders, making 13 correct picks and only 3 wrong ones (and two games was missed by a half point and another by 2 points or it would have been a perfect 16-0 sweep!)
In Week 11, the computer has the Packers moving to 10-0 and covering the spread easily against Tampa Bay and sees favorites going 8-6 on the week (remember that bye weeks return for a final time this week).
ADVERTISEMENT: Check the latest Week 11 NFL point spreads, do your handicapping and then check the computer picks before visiting your favorite sportsbook for chalk teams (Sportsbook) or underdogs (Sportsbook).
And while trends point to Kansas City covering the spread Monday Night in New England, the computer picks the Patriots to cover 14.5 points by the slimmest of margins. See the Week 11 NFL computer picks and results below.
Road | Score | Home | Score | Spread | ATS | Total | OU |
NY Jets | 24.9 | Denver | 18.1 | 5 | NYJ | 42.5 | O |
Carolina | 18.8 | Detroit | 31.5 | -7 | DET | 48 | O |
Cincinnati | 26.2 | Baltimore | 29 | -9 | CIN | 41 | O |
Jacksonville | 10.9 | Cleveland | 10.7 | -1.5 | JAC | 36 | U |
Dallas | 24.5 | Washington | 15.3 | 7.5 | DAL | 41 | U |
Buffalo | 23 | Miami | 19.5 | -2 | BUF | 43 | U |
Oakland | 21.2 | Minnesota | 16.8 | 1.5 | OAK | 44.5 | U |
Tampa Bay | 16.3 | Green Bay | 39.7 | -14.5 | GB | 49.5 | O |
Seattle | 12.5 | St. Louis | 6.7 | -3 | SEA | 37 | U |
Arizona | 18 | SF 49ers | 31.9 | -10 | SF | 41.5 | O |
San Diego | 22.8 | Chicago | 29.7 | -4 | CHI | 47 | O |
Tennessee | 22.8 | Atlanta | 23.1 | -6.5 | TEN | 44 | O |
Philadelphia | 25.6 | NY Giants | 24.4 | -3.5 | PHI | 46 | O |
Kansas City | 14.2 | Patriots | 29.3 | -14.5 | NE | 48 | U |
In Week 10, the computer dominated the totals at 13-3. But check how close the picks were on the three misses (half point in Pitt-Cincy and Saints-Falcons).
Away | Score | Home | Score | Spread | total | Cover? | OU? | actual |
Oakland | 21 | San Diego | 24 | -7 | 47.5 | OAK | U | 24-17 OAK |
Pittsburgh | 24 | Cincinnati | 27 | 3 | 41.5 | CIN | O | 24-17 PIT |
Washington | 15 | Miami | 15 | -4 | 37.5 | WAS | U | 20-9 MIA |
Tennessee | 21 | Carolina | 20 | -3.5 | 46 | TEN | U | 30-3 TEN |
Saints | 34 | Atlanta | 27 | EV | 49.5 | NO | O | 26-23 NO |
Buffalo | 29 | Dallas | 24 | -5.5 | 48 | BUF | O | 44-7 DAL |
Jacksonville | 11 | Indianapolis | 2 | 3 | 37.5 | JAC | U | 17-3 JAC |
Denver | 16 | Kansas City | 14 | -3 | 41.5 | DEN | U | 17-10 DEN |
Houston | 30 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 3 | 45.5 | HOU | O | 37-9 HOU |
St. Louis | 5 | Cleveland | 12 | -1.5 | 37 | CLE | U | 13-12 CLE |
Arizona | 19 | Philadelphia | 26 | -15.5 | 47 | ARZ | U | 21-17 ARZ |
Baltimore | 30 | Seattle | 12 | 7 | 41 | BAL | U | 22-17 SEA |
Detroit | 35 | Chicago | 27 | -1.5 | 45 | DET | O | 37-13 CHI |
NY Giants | 24 | SF 49ers | 33 | -3 | 42.5 | SF | O | 27-20 SF |
Patriots | 29 | NY Jets | 29 | EV | 47.5 | PUSH | O | 37-16 NE |
Minnesota | 22 | Green Bay | 38 | -14.5 | 50.5 | GB | O | 45-7 GB |
