Week 7 odds - Texans vs. Chiefs

Houston Texans Kansas City Chiefs

Two teams headed in opposite directions collide in Kansas City on Sunday, when the struggling Houston Texans visit the undefeated Chiefs.

The Texans (2-4 SU, 0-6 ATS) have lost four straight games, including an embarrassing 38-13 home defeat to the St. Louis Rams. Houston QB Matt Schaub was knocked out of the game with a lower leg injury. Backup T.J. Yates took over, but things spiraled out of control quickly.

Schaub’s status for this week’s game was unknown as of Monday afternoon.

The Texans have failed to cover the spread in seven straight road games and will be desperate to win as they head for a bye week. The Texans 8-3 ATS lifetime before a bye week.

The Chiefs (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) have emerged as legit contenders in the AFC. They rolled past the Oakland Raiders on Sunday to continue a perfect start to first-year coach Andy Reid’s tenure. QB Alex Smith is playing well and bringing the best out of running back Jamaal Charles.

Seven of the last 10 Chiefs’ home games have stayed UNDER, the total with one push.

These two teams last met in 2010, with the Texans winning 35-31. The Texans will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 0-6 ATS against the number this season, while the Chiefs are 5-1 ATS. Houston is 4-2 on the totals; Kansas City is 1-5.

View Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Odds and Stats.

The point spread was settled in at -3 favoring the host Chiefs earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook.ag. The over under line was hovering around 40, with movement expected during the week at Bovada.

The game pits the Chiefs, currently No. 14 in our OddsShark NFL Power Rankings, against the Texans, who rate No. 26 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 33-8 victory for the Chiefs.

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In their last action, Houston was a 38-13 loser at home against the Rams. They failed to cover the 9.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (51) was profitable news for OVER bettors. Jamaal Charles scored twice in Kansas City's most recent game, earning a 24-7 win over Oakland at Arrowhead Stadium.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Kansas City's No. 9-ranked offense, averaging 25.33 PPG, against a Texans defense that ranks No. 28 this week at 29.5 PPG. The Chiefs aerial game is averaging 207.33 yards per game, more than the Texans secondary allows through the air, 131.33 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Texans own the league's No. 14-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 110.67 yards per game when on the road. Kansas City, on the other hand, rates No. 19 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

A few Texans at Chiefs trends to consider:
Houston is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Houston at Indianapolis, Sunday, November 3rd
Kansas City at Cleveland, Sunday, October 27th

 

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