Despite owning home-ice advantage in this series and sweeping the Bruins in the regular season, the Senators are receiving very little respect from Sportsbooks and opened Game 1 as the +110 betting underdog. That line is pretty much par for the course as the Sens have also been tabbed as the +155 underdog to win their series with the B’s.
- The Bruins are 0-6 SU and on the puckline in their last 6 games against the Senators.
- The total has gone UNDER in 3 of the Bruins' last 4 games against the Senators.
- The Bruins went 11-29 SU against other playoff teams in the regular season.
I know the Bruins are hot coming into this series and the Senators are – well – not, but the value here is hard to ignore. When these teams squared off not even a week ago, the Senators came away with a 2-1 victory and this was when there was still seeding and playoff spots on the line. I tend to think the public is driving this line in Boston’s favor based on their pedigree and I’m urging bettors to reconsider.
That said, if you all want to just keep betting that Boston line, increasing the Sens’ value, I’m all for that as well – more $ for me.
Breaking it down a little further, these teams would appear to be incredibly well-matched. Both have taken more shots than they’ve given up since the all-star break and they both have goalies who can steal the show. Ottawa’s 2-1-2 style and Boston’s puck possession metrics would lead me to believe that this should be a low-scoring series and the teams’ goaltending stats/shots-against statistics support that theory.
To recap, I like the Senators’ value tonight – and in the series – and unlike the public bettors, who are throwing money at the OVER, I like the UNDER 5.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
If you're going with the Ottawa Senators in this one, they were listed as moneyline underdogs of +110 on most NHL hockey betting menus (such as Sportsbook) early today for Wednesday's contest. The over-under total was at 5 earlier at Sportsbook.
Odds Shark computer prediction formulas pick a 2.9-2.3 win for the Bruins on Wednesday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.
Boston Bruins vs Ottawa Senators Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Ottawa Senators are 44-28-10 so far on the season. The Boston Bruins, meanwhile, are 44-31-7. OVER/UNDER betting fans have seen Ottawa go 32-47-3 and the Bruins go 37-37-8 on the totals. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Ottawa vs Boston injuries news.
According to new NHL Power Rankings here at Odds Shark, it's the No. 18-ranked Ottawa Senators and the No. 1-rated Boston Bruins in this matchup.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Ottawa's No. 22-ranked offense, averaging 2.59 goals per game, against a Bruins defense that ranks No. 9 at 2.59 goals allowed. The Senators power play is averaging 16.93% while the Bruins defense kills off 85.71% of their penalties.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
In their last action, Boston was a 3-1 loser at home against the Capitals. Bettors on Washington at +104 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (4) sent UNDER bettors home happy as well.
The Senators were a 4-2 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Islanders. That made Sportsbooks of bettors who got New York at -173 on the moneyline, while the total score (6) was good news for OVER bettors.
- Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
- Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games
- Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
- Ottawa is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
- Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
- Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Boston at Ottawa, Saturday, April 15th
