NHL Expert Picks March 20,2024

Expert Picks Tonight: Leafs Should Dominate En Route To Win Over Caps

Looking for a few picks to make this Wednesday? We've got three NHL expert picks tonight for you. Follow along with a bet for each of the three games on the NHL schedule tonight Match 20, 2024.

NHL Expert Picks Tonight: March 20, 2024

Maple Leafs vs Capitals
The Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals, 7:30 PM ET

TeamPucklineTotalMoneyline
Toronto Maple Leafs-1.5 (+170)O6.5 (+100)-135
Washington Capitals+1.5 (-205)U6.5 (-120)+114

Pick: Maple Leafs ML (-135)

Even though Toronto played last night in Philly while the Caps rested, the Leafs are still favored at -135 on the moneyline. In this specific context this season (when Toronto is a road dog on zero days of rest), the Leafs hold a 4-2 record. 

With all due respect to Washington's push for the playoffs, they aren't a good team. They have the 19th-best xGF% and third-worst CF% (at 5on5) over every team's last 10 games. The Leafs should dominate play and take the win.

Coyotes vs Stars
The Game: Arizona Coyotes vs Dallas Stars, 8 PM ET

TeamPucklineTotalMoneyline
Arizona Coyotes+1.5 (-110)O6.5 (+100)+230
Dallas Stars-1.5 (-110)U6.5 (-120)-285

Pick: Coyotes +1.5 (-110)

The 'Yotes have covered a +1.5 puckline twice in three games when a road dog of +200 or more. Meanwhile, Dallas is 2-5 ATS when a fav at home of -250 or lower. 

There's clearly a mismatch here. Dallas should win this game, but when it comes to covering the puckline I believe in the Coyotes. (That's something I never thought I'd say.)

Wild vs Kings
The Game: Minnesota Wild vs Los Angeles Kings, 10 PM ET

TeamPucklineTotalMoneyline
Minnesota Wild+1.5 (-205)O5.5 (-120)+130
Los Angeles Kings-1.5 (+170)U5.5 (+100)-155

Pick: U5.5 (+100)

The form both teams are in tells me the UNDER is going to hit tonight. Just look at some of each side's trends lately:

Los Angeles Kings: In their last 10 games the UNDER has hit seven times and eight times in their last 10 home games. When the total is set at 5.5 goals the Kings are 6-4 against the UNDER.

Minnesota Wild: Five of their last 6 games have gone UNDER while four of their last five road games have also gone below the total. On the season when the total is set at 5.5, their record is 5-3.

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