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Penguins vs Leafs Preview

Sidney Crosby is getting closer to returning but he won't be in the lineup as the Penguins host the slumping Leafs in NHL wagering Wednesday at Consol Energy Centre.

The Penguins are 10-1 in their past 11 home games and will try to defend home turf and reward moneyline bettors. Toronto plays its third game under new coach Randy Carlyle and on no rest after losing to Boston last night.

Pittsburgh boasts the NHL's second-best penalty kill unit while the Leafs rank second last. Of note, 11 of 14 meetings between these teams have gone OVER the total.

The Penguins sport records of 39-21-5 heading into this matchup, while the Maple Leafs sit at 30-29-7 on the season. The OVER/UNDER records are 30-28-7 for the Penguins and 37-29 for the Maple Leafs.

View Toronto vs Pittsburgh Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks such as [custom:bet3665-link] had installed the Penguins as -205 moneyline favorites in this particular NHL matchup. The total, meanwhile, was set early at 5.5 before betting started to move the line.

Power Rankings:
This game puts the Penguins, most recently No. 1 in the Odds Shark NHL Power Rankings, up against the Maple Leafs, who rate a No. 18 in the latest survey.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Pittsburgh's No. 3-ranked offense (3.2 goals per game) against a Maple Leafs defense that ranks No. 28 at 3.1 goals per game allowed. The Penguins powerplay has clicked at a 20.1% rate while the Maple Leafs have a 76.9% rate on the penalty kill.

In their last action, Toronto was a 5-4 loser at home against the Bruins. Bettors on Boston at -133 on the moneyline collected their winnings from that game, while the total score (9) sent OVER bettors home happy as well.

Pittsburgh won its last outing, a 2-1 result against the Coyotes on March 5. Bettors who backed the Penguins at -165 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (3) sent UNDER bettors to the payout window.

Toronto Maple Leafs Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing San Jose are 5-5-1
After playing Boston are 7-3
After a loss are 2-8

Pittsburgh Penguins Trends:
When playing on Wednesday are 2-8
Before playing Ottawa are 6-4
After playing Phoenix are 5-5-1
After a win are 6-4

 

A few Maple Leafs at Penguins trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Pittsburgh is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

Next up:
Toronto home to Philadelphia, Saturday, March 10
Pittsburgh home to Florida, Friday, March 9

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