We have to go all the way back to October 2021 to find the last time the UFC’s light heavyweight division was in the main event. That’s what’s occurring this weekend when Johnny Walker takes on Jamahal Hill.
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Hill will take place on February 19 at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, with the first fight of the night happening at 4 p.m. ET. In Walker vs Hill odds for the main event, the lower-ranked Hill is the betting favorite.
You can see the UFC odds and other betting markets at Sportsbook.
Walker vs Hill Notes
Walker competed in his first-ever main event in early October of last year. He lost that bout via unanimous decision to former title challenger Thiago Santos. He hopes a second time around will be successful.
Hill suffered his first professional loss in June of last year after an injury due to an armbar rendered him unable to defend against a flurry of blows on the floor against Paul Craig. He rebounded, though, with a first-round victory over Jimmy Crute in December.
Walker vs Hill Odds
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has listed the Johnny Walker vs Jamahal Hill betting odds for the entire card and in the main event, Hill is the -240 chalk while Walker is the +195 underdog. This means you would have to lay $240 if you were looking to profit $100 with a Hill win while a $100 winning bet on Walker would net you $195.
Furthermore, our sports betting calculator tells us that Hill’s betting line translates to an implied win probability of 70.59 percent and Walker’s odds represent an implied win probability of 33.90 percent.
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Looking to take a stab at the biggest underdog in the UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Hill odds? Take a look at Christian Rodriguez as a +270 underdog ($100 nets you $270) in his featherweight bout against Jonathan Pearce (-345). In the fight with the tightest odds, Diana Belbita is a narrow -120 favorite against Gloria de Paula (+105).
Walker vs Hill Betting Odds & Fight Card
- Main Card
- Light Heavyweight – Johnny Walker (+195) vs Jamahal Hill (-240)
- Middleweight – Jamie Pickett (+215) vs Kyle Daukaus (-265)
- Heavyweight – Parker Porter (-265) vs Alan Baudot (+215)
- Lightweight – Jim Miller (+150) vs Nikolas Motta (-175)
- Middleweight – Joaquin Buckley (-165) vs Abdul Razak Alhassan (+135)
- Prelims
- Featherweight – Jonathan Pearce (-345) vs Christian Rodriguez (+270)
- Bantamweight – Mario Bautista (-315) vs Jay Perrin (+255)
- Featherweight – Gabriel Benitez (+135) vs David Onama (-160)
- Women’s Bantamweight – Jessica-Rose Clark (-180) vs Stephanie Egger (+155)
- Featherweight – Chas Skelly (-200) vs Mark Striegl (+170)
- Women’s Strawweight – Diana Belbita (-120) vs Gloria de Paula (+105)
- Bantamweight – Chad Anheliger (-250) vs Jesse Strader (+205)
All set to get in on the MMA action with this fight card? See our How to Bet UFC page to learn about the different UFC bets you can place. Afterward, you can head over to our sportsbook review page to choose where to bet on the UFC. There is more UFC betting news found here at Odds Shark.
- Date/Time: February 19, 4 p.m. ET
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Arena: UFC Apex
- Where to Watch: ESPN+
Johnny Walker vs Jamahal Hill Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Johnny Walker | +195 |
| Jamahal Hill | -240 |
Looking to get back on a winning streak after suffering his first pro loss last June is Jamahal “Sweet Dreams” Hill (-240), who bounced back from that defeat with a first-minute knockout in his return to the cage in December. Meanwhile, former hot prospect Johnny Walker (+195) is searching for his first win since September 2020, losing his only appearance of 2021.
- In 2019, some were saying Walker might challenge Jon Jones for the light heavyweight strap. Since then, he’s gone 1-3 and now holds an 18-6 record with 15 knockout wins while suffering three defeats in the same manner.
- The Brazilian is a big light heavyweight, standing six-foot-six with an exceptional 82-inch reach. Despite his size, he is quite explosive with plenty of spinning and flying attacks that are fight-enders if they land.
- One knock on Walker early on was his conditioning as he was all-out aggression from the outset of the fight. But in his last fight, he was much more patient and controled – perhaps too patient, landing just 48 significant strikes over five rounds, though that represents his most ever in the UFC.
- Walker’s last three fights were Nikita Krylov (loss – unanimous decision), Ryan Spann (win – knockout) and Thiago Santos (loss – unanimous decision).
- As mentioned off the top, Hill had been unbeaten in his first nine pro fights before tasting defeat. He’s now 9-1-1 with five knockout wins while his lone defeat came in the same manner.
- The southpaw is an exceptional striker with a very high output of 7.45 significant strikes per minute while absorbing only 3.68. Sweet Dreams also doesn’t search for many takedowns, having landed a grand total of zero in his UFC career.
- One advantage Hill usually has over his opponents is his reach at 79 inches, but he will be at a three-inch disadvantage in this bout. He has great footwork and his counters are outstanding with elite accuracy and power.
- Hill’s last three fights were Ovince St. Preux (win – knockout), Paul Craig (loss – knockout) and Jimmy Crute (win – knockout).
Prediction: Jamahal Hill (-240) via knockout
Jamie Pickett vs Kyle Daukaus Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jamie Pickett | +215 |
| Kyle Daukaus | -265 |
Taking this fight on short notice, Jamie “The Night Wolf” Pickett (+215) looks to extend his two-fight winning streak. Conversely, Kyle Daukaus (-265) is winless over his last two bouts for the first time in his professional career.
- Pickett has struggled to find his footing in the UFC Octagon, losing twice in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series before getting a win and is 2-2 as a UFC fighter. Overall, though, he’s 13-6 with eight knockout wins and half of his losses have been finishes (one knockout, two submissions).
- The Night Wolf is a big middleweight at six-foot-two and has an 80-inch reach. Additionally, he is fairly well-rounded with the ability to strike and mix in 1.68 takedowns per 15 minutes. The biggest flaw in his game is a lack of output. He averages just 3.02 significant strikes per minute and has never surpassed 50 significant strikes in a UFC fight.
- When he throws, he has big power but he is simply too hesitant. He has a tendency to overextend at times and defensively he usually backs straight up with his chin in the air, which is a dangerous habit.
- Pickett’s last three fights were Jordan Wright (loss – knockout), Laureano Staropoli (win – unanimous decision) and Joseph Holmes (win – unanimous decision).
- Daukaus entered the UFC with a perfect record but is 1-2 with a no contest in his four bouts in the Octagon. He’s now 10-2 with one no contest. Eight of his wins have come by submission and two of his defeats by decision.
- Evident in his record, Daukaus is a good grappler and submission specialist, averaging 1.88 takedowns per 15 minutes. He has landed at least one takedown in four of his five fights under the UFC umbrella, including his Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series appearance.
- On the feet, the southpaw has a lot of forward pressure but doesn’t have a lot of power to strike fear into his opponents. That said, if the pressure forces them to push forward and engage in a grappling exchange, that’s where he excels.
- Daukaus’ last three fights were Dustin Stoltzfus (win – unanimous decision), Phil Hawes (loss – unanimous decision) and Kevin Holland (no contest).
Prediction: Kyle Daukaus (-265) via decision
Parker Porter vs Alan Baudot Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Parker Porter | -265 |
| Alan Baudot | +215 |
In search of his first UFC victory, Alan “The Black Samourai” Baudot (+215) has a loss and a no contest in his first two appearances in the Octagon. Meanwhile, his opponent, Parker Porter (-265), finds himself on a two-fight winning streak after losing his UFC debut.
- Porter has the opportunity to post the longest streak – winning or losing – of his career. Fortunately, it’s a winning streak that’s on the line this time. He is 11-6 with eight finishes (five knockouts, three submissions) and five of his losses have been stoppages as well (three knockouts, two submissions).
- Despite tipping the scales at the heavyweight limit of 265 pounds, Porter has tremendous conditioning and output. He landed 149 significant strikes in his last fight and averages 8.48 per minute while absorbing 7.51.
- He will also mix in the odd takedown, securing one in his last fight and two in his previous one. At times, he will load up on strikes; he’s much more effective when he just lets his hands go.
- Porter’s last three fights were Chris Daukaus (loss – knockout), Josh Parisian (win – unanimous decision) and Chase Sherman (win – unanimous decision).
- Baudot had an impressive record before getting his UFC opportunity, but in the Octagon he’s been knocked out twice in two walks, though the second was overturned to a no contest. He carries an 8-2 record and one no contest, with seven of his wins and both of his losses coming by knockout.
- Like Porter, The Black Samourai has a high output of 7.81 significant strikes per minute but has absorbed 8.06, making his opponents miss on only 39 percent of their strikes. The native of France seems a little frantic in the cage, throwing the kitchen sink at his opponents when they are in range.
- I really like Baudot consistently throwing his 1-2 but at times he will enter the pocket with his head first, which can put him in a world of trouble in the heavyweight division. Also, with his aggressive approach, he slows rapidly.
- Baudot’s last three fights were Todd Stoute (win – disqualification), Tom Aspinall (loss – knockout) and Rodrigo Nascimento (no contest).
Prediction: Parker Porter (-265) via knockout
Jim Miller vs Nikolas Motta Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jim Miller | +150 |
| Nikolas Motta | -175 |
Jim “A-10” Miller (+150) is set to extend his UFC record of 38 fights in the promotion and with this walk he will have two more fights under his belt than the next-closest fighter. On the flip side, Nikolas “Iron” Motta (-175) is making his UFC debut after earning a contract in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series.
- Miller snapped a two-fight skid in a big way in October, scoring his first knockout win in over five years. The veteran’s record stands at 33-16 with one no contest and 23 of his wins have been stoppages (five knockouts, 18 submissions). Five defeats have also been finishes (two knockouts, three submissions).
- A-10 is an outstanding submission artist and in many different ways. Take for example his last three submission wins via a rear-naked choke, guillotine choke and armbar – variety is the spice of life.
- The southpaw has underrated power in his hands and should not be overlooked as being only a grappler. He has decent kicks and his left hand is very dangerous if not accounted for. Additionally, he has an aggressive mindset and if he lands a couple of shots in a row, he will often chain the combination into a grappling opportunity where he shines.
- Miller’s last three fights were Vinc Pichel (loss – unanimous decision), Joe Solecki (loss – unanimous decision) and Erick Gonzalez (win – knockout).
- Not only did Motta earn a contract in his DWTNCS appearance in November 2020, that win also moved him to a three-fight winning streak. He holds a 12-3 record with eight knockout wins and each of his losses were stoppages as well (two knockouts, one submission).
- Unlike Miller, Motta prefers to keep the fight standing as he stuffed the lone takedown attempt against him in his Contender Series fight, while going for no attempts himself.
- Iron has big power and is very patient on the feet, knowing the range of his opponents and willing to absorb a shot to land one of his own. He does rely on big hooks and kicks but is a little one-dimensional and doesn’t set up his shots. If he lands clean, though, he can shut the lights off in a hurry.
- Motta’s last three fights were Cesar Balmaceda (win – knockout), Juan Gonzalez (win – unanimous decision) and Joseph Lowry (win – unanimous decision).
Prediction: Jim Miller (+150) via submission
Joaquin Buckley vs Abdul Razak Alhassan Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Joaquin Buckley | -165 |
| Abdul Razak Alhassan | +135 |
Don’t blink in the Sportsbook fight of the main card when these two middleweight knockout artists collide. Joaquin “New Mansa” Buckley (-165) started 2021 with a knockout loss but finished the year with a win in the same fashion. Meanwhile, Abdul Razak Alhassan (+135) finally emerged from his three-fight losing skid with a knockout win of his own in August last year.
- With a record of 3-2 in the Octagon, none of his fights have gone the distance – all five have ended in a knockout. For his career, Buckley is 13-4 with 10 knockout wins and three defeats by the same method.
- The southpaw doesn’t have a tremendous output, having yet to reach 50 significant strikes in a fight in the UFC. It isn’t because he doesn’t throw, but he only lands 37 percent of his attempts as he uses big actions with a lot of power.
- New Mansa can close the distance rapidly but tends to do so and then throw just one strike. He would likely find a lot of success if he added a few more strikes in the pocket. It’s hard to argue with the knockout success he’s had in his career, though.
- Buckley’s last three fights were Jordan Wright (win – knockout), Alessio Di Chirico (loss – knockout) and Antonio Arroyo (win – knockout).
- Alhassan has had a rocky road in the UFC, having a three-fight winning streak early on followed immediately by a three-fight losing skid. He sports an 11-4 record with all of his wins coming by knockout in the first, while his only stoppage loss was also a knockout.
- He is extremely aggressive early in the fight but it seems that if he doesn’t get his foe out of there in a hurry, he gets discouraged and exhausted and loses a lot of his power.
- While he’s known for being a knockout artist, he has shown in the past the ability to get off the floor after getting taken down, while also being strong in clinch situations against the cage. This could be a battle of who lands cleanly first, which is always fun to watch.
- Alhassan’s last three fights were Khaos Williams (loss – knockout), Jacob Malkoun (loss – unanimous decision) and Alessio Di Chirico (win – knockout).
Prediction: Abdul Razak Alhassan (+135) via knockout
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Hill Best Bets
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Light Heavyweight – Jamahal Hill | -240 |
| Heavyweight – Parker Porter | -265 |
| Middleweight – Kyle Daukaus | -265 |
| Lightweight – Jim Miller | +150 |
| Middleweight – Abdul Razak Alhassan | +135 |
