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Tillman Has Not Fared Well Against Blue Jays' Lineup

The Blue Jays will immediately get a chance to defend their newly acquired lead in the AL East today as they send out Aaron Sanchez (11-1, 2.72 ERA) to face Chris Tillman (14-3, 3.47 ERA) and the Baltimore Orioles. Toronto is quickly gaining ground on other elite teams around the Majors after a hot start after the All-Star break.

SHARK BITES
  • Since the O’s UNDER streak, they have posted 2 straight OVERs vs the Jays.
  • The Blue Jays are 8-3 in their last 11 games.
  • Kevin Pillar has hit 3 home runs against Tillman in 20 career at-bats. He’s bottom 20 in OPS this season.

Chris Tillman got absolutely blown up by the Rockies in his last start, just a day after I wrote an article about how he was the best money pitcher in baseball. Before that start, Tillman posted four straight seven-inning, one-run ball games.

Sanchez’ performance this year may be forcing the Jays’ hand to keep him out of the bullpen and forget about the proposed innings limit. The 24-year-old hurler is in the Cy Young conversation this season and has not given up more than two runs, since a start vs the O’s back in June in which he got shelled for six runs.

Sanchez has actually pitched much worse during daytime games, posting an ERA of 4.55 in five starts. Tillman, however, may be sweating coming into this one. The Blue Jays current lineup owns a .303 combined batting average against the O’s ace – fire emoji.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those betting on the visitors in this one found the Baltimore Orioles listed as underdogs of 148 at most sportsbooks, including Bovada. Total bettors saw the number open in the area of 8.5, check for odds updates at MyBookie.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 4.7-1.9 win for the Blue Jays. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Toronto Blue Jays bring a 59-45 record to the battle against the 58-45 Orioles. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Baltimore injuries news.

The Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles odds would favor the Blue Jays if the betting lines were set according to our power ranks. Toronto is rated No. 1 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Baltimore is at No. 22.

Statistical Matchup

Rating these teams in several key categories is important for handicappers and Toronto has baseball's No. 5-rated offensive output, at 8.52 hits per game. The Baltimore Orioles average 9.07 hits per game, good for No. 7 on the list.

Baltimore brings the No. 16-rated defense to this matchup, facing the Blue Jays's No. 9-ranked defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Orioles hope to make more contact than they did in their start against J Happ, who struck out 11 batters in 9-1 loss on Saturday at Rogers Centre.

Betting Trends
  • Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Baltimore's last 18 games
  • Baltimore is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
  • Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Baltimore home to Texas, Tuesday, August 2nd
Toronto at Houston, Monday, August 1st

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