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Jays to Face Inexperienced Merritt in Game 5 of ALCS

Josh Donaldson Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays are looking to join an exclusive club, but they still have a long road to get there. The Jays staved off elimination with a 5-1 victory over the Cleveland Indians in the ALCS on Tuesday, and they’re three games away from joining the 2004 Boston Red Sox as the only teams in major league history to overcome a 3-0 deficit to win a series. Game 5 is Wednesday in Toronto.

Shark Bites
  • The Blue Jays are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The Indians are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
  • The Blue Jays are 4-17-1 OU in their last 22 games with a closing total of 8.0 or more.

Ryan Merritt and Marco Estrada will get the nod for the Tribe and Jays, respectively. Merritt (1-0, 1.64 ERA) will become the second pitcher in MLB history to start a playoff game after making just one regular season start in his career. Merritt began his tenure with three relief appearances over which he gave up one run and three hits in six frames.

Estrada (1-1, 1.65) tossed his first big league complete game at Cleveland in Game 1, but took the loss after allowing two runs and six hits in eight innings. The Mexican started Game 5 of last year’s ALCS and yielded only one run over 7 2/3 innings against Kansas City to keep Toronto from being eliminated.

All four games of the series have gone UNDER the total, as betting on low-scoring games is a very profitable idea for both teams at this point. The Indians have gone UNDER in six straight, while the Jays have cashed UNDER bets in six of their last seven home tilts.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The visiting Cleveland Indians were 140 moneyline underdogs in this one earlier in the day at most online sportsbooks including Bovada. The total was 8 at Bet365 for those preferring over under betting.

Odds Shark computer score prediction models pick a possible 3.2-2.1 win for the Blue Jays on Wednesday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Cleveland Indians vs Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Toronto Blue Jays bring a 94-76 record to the battle against the 100-68 Indians. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Cleveland injuries news.

This game puts the Toronto Blue Jays, most recently No. 11 in Odds Shark MLB Power Rankings, up against the Cleveland Indians, who rate a No. 13 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

On offense, it's a battle between the Toronto Blue Jays and its No. 9-rated batting order, averaging 4.67 runs per nine innings, against the No. 5 line up of the Cleveland Indians at 4.77 runs per outing.

Cleveland brings the No. 7-rated defense to this matchup, facing the Blue Jays's No. 6-ranked defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Cleveland looks to rebound from a loss to the Blue Jays, who beat them 5-1 on Tuesday behind a start from A Sanchez at Rogers Centre.

Betting Trends
  • Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Cleveland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
  • Toronto is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Cleveland home to Toronto, Friday, October 21st

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