Home run props are the epitome of high-risk, high-reward MLB betting. So, let's find some reward.
I've got a pair of homer picks for tonight's game, so follow along for my two home run prop bets for April 17th:
Pick 1: Aaron Judge To Homer (+190)
Yankees vs Blue Jays Matchup Preview - Game Time: 3:10 pm ET
Kevin Gausman hasn't been his usual self to start this season. The Blue Jays righty has allowed a 11.57 ERA in his first three outings of 2024, letting up three homers in the three starts, too.
That's great news for Aaron Judge, who's on a bit cold right now and looking to get back on track. Judge has feasted on Gausman in the past, with 10 hits in 25 career at-bats against the righty. Four of those hits have left the yard for a homer, too. If that's what Judge can do against the normal Gausman, imagine what Judge can do when he's struggling.
Pick 2: Michael Toglia To Homer (+600)
Phillies vs Rockies Matchup Preview - Game Time: 6:05 pm ET
Michale Toglia has not been a very good hitter to start this season, but the one thing he's doing is hitting homers. Toglia has just five hits in his first 38 at-bats of the season, but four of those have left the yard. Two of those have also come against lefties like tonight's Philly starter Cristopher Sanchez.
Sanchez has been particularly homer-prone throughout his career, too. In just 140 innings over the last two seasons, Sanchez has allowed 21 homers. Toglia may not get many hits tonight, but if he does it'll be a homer.
