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Watson is Hot, but Texans are not in Prime-Time Games

How many teams are kicking themselves for not taking Deshaun Watson in the draft? Basically, any team that doesn’t have an established QB, as the rookie has set the league on fire the past two weeks and looks like the next big star in the NFL. Superstardom aside, his team has been an absolute joke in prime-time games, posting an absurd 3-21-1 ATS record in their last 25 games at night.

Shark Bites
  • Deshaun Watson has thrown for six TDs and run for 1 in his last two games.
  • Kansas City ranks No. 1 in the NFL with 1.3 net yards per play.
  • The OVER has hit in seven of Kansas City’s last nine night games.

With the game hovering in the PICK range, the Texans will be in tough to reverse that trend on Sunday night at home vs the NFL’s only undefeated team, the Kansas City Chiefs, who are also a perfect 4-0 ATS. The Chiefs are also money on the road, as they’ve won and covered in eight straight outside of KC, and going back even further, they’re 15-3 SU and ATS in their last 18 games as a road favorite.

The trends certainly favor the Chiefs and they’ll also be the toughest defense Watson has faced yet in his NFL career. They’re allowing 19.2 points per game with 11 sacks and six forced fumbles. This is a major step up in competition for the Texans offense, coming off games against two of the worst defenses in the NFL, the Patriots and Titans, who are both allowing over 31 points per game.

With a total of 47 points, bettors will be interested to know that the Chiefs have topped that mark in three of their four games this season while the Texans have easily surpassed that number in their last two games.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The point spread was settled in at 3.5 for the host Houston Texans earlier in the week, according to Bovada. The OVER/UNDER betting line was hovering around 47, with odds movement expected during the week at MyBookie.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 24-20 victory for the Texans. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Kansas City Chiefs will try to spoil the party on Sunday; they are 4-0 against the spread this season, while the Houston Texans are 3-1 ATS. Kansas City is 3-1 on the OVER/UNDER betting totals; Houston is 2-2. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Houston vs Kansas City injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Houston Texans rated this week at No. 11 and the Kansas City Chiefs sitting at No. 3.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Houston Texans' No. 4-ranked offense (27.5 PPG) against a Kansas City Chiefs defense that ranks No. 10 at 19.25 PPG. The Texans passing attack has averaged 193 yards per game, less than the Chiefs give up through the air (248 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Kansas City Chiefs feature the league's No. 18-rated road run defense, allowing 114 yards per game. The Houston Texans, meanwhile, rank No. 11 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

In their last game, Kansas City got a 101-yard performance from Kareem Hunt as a key part of its 29-20 win over Washington.

Deshaun Watson dusted the Titans secondary for 4 TDs last time out as the Texans defeated Tennessee 57-14 at NRG Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
  • Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
  • Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Kansas City home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, October 15
Houston home to Cleveland, Sunday, October 15

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