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Patriots Looking to Bounce Back in the Big Easy

After a loss that no one saw coming, the Patriots will look to shut the mouths of their doubters vs another 0-1 team, the New Orleans Saints. Bettors should be aware of the fact that New England doesn’t often drop back-to-back games, either straight up or against the spread. You’d have to go back a few seasons to 2015 to find an occurrence of each and even more impressive, they’re now on a run that’s seen them go 17-3 SU after a loss.

Shark Bites
  • On the road in 2016, Tom Brady threw 18 TDs and 0 INTs.
  • The Patriots are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS in their last eight games on the road.
  • Drew Brees has thrown for 300 or more yards in 12 of his last 15 games at home.

With the spread in the 6.5-point range favoring New England, you’ll want to keep in mind that oddsmakers tend to undervalue the Saints at home as they’re on a 9-3 ATS stretch as a home underdog. The Patriots won all eight of their road games in 2016, covering the spread in seven, and winning six of those games by double digits.

Lots of scoring is expected with the game opening the week with the highest total of the board — 54.5 points. The Saints have topped the total in 10 of their last 13 games at home and will be looking to take advantage of a Patriots defense that gave up 42 points and 537 total yards in Week 1. The Patriots should also have the luxury of racking up lots of points as the Saints were the league’s worst home defense in 2016, allowing 29.5 points per game.

A recurring issue for the Saints over the past few seasons has been a poor start. They’re 1-10 SU and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September. They’ll be desperate to pick up a win in Week 2 with their next two games coming on the road where the September trend gets even worse — they’re 4-14 SU in their last 18 September games away from New Orleans.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The New England Patriots opened as 4-point favorites in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including BetOnline), while the total was hovering around 53.5 at most shops.

NFL prediction models run by the computers at OddsShark picked a 29-22 result in favor of the Saints earlier in the week. Watch matchup reports and the picks page for any changes, due to injuries or suspensions this week. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New England Patriots will try to spoil the party on Sunday; they are 0-1 against the spread this season, while the New Orleans Saints are 0-1 ATS. New England is 1-0 on the OVER/UNDER betting totals; New Orleans is 1-0. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New Orleans vs New England injuries news.

The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 1-rated New England Patriots taking on the No. 10-rated New Orleans Saints in this betting contest.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

New England is coming off a 42-27 setback against the Kansas City Chiefs, where Mike Gillislee scampered for 3 TDs on Thursday.

The Saints suffered a Week 1 loss against Minnesota in their last game, falling 29-19 at U.S. Bank Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • New England is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
  • New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
  • New England is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
  • New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games
  • New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New England home to Houston, Sunday, September 24
New Orleans at Carolina, Sunday, September 24

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