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UNDER Trending at Home for Falcons

Atlanta Falcons Julio Jones

The Falcons have been anything but a dependable bet this season as they’ve gone 2-9 ATS over their last 11 games. They’ve been a much more reliable O/U bet, however, as the UNDER has hit in five straight of their home games and in all but one of their seven home games so far this season. The Falcons will welcome the New Orleans Saints to the Georgia Dome on Sunday.

Shark Bites
  • The Saints are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games against the Falcons.
  • The Saints are 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games after a win.
  • The Falcons are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games after winning as an underdog.

The Saints are coming off a 38-27 home win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, but have failed to put up big numbers on the road lately as they’ve averaged just 14.6 points over their last three road games. The Saints are just 2-5 SU on the road this season and lost a close 37-34 game the last time these teams met in Atlanta.

After losing six straight games, the Falcons are riding a two-game winning streak after putting an end to the Panthers’ perfect season. You’d think any offense that features Julio Jones would rank amongst the top offenses in the league, but the Falcons are ranked in the bottom half of the league with just 21.5 points per game. Even worse for the Falcons, they’ve averaged a measly 14.3 points in their last three games.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The New Orleans Saints were listed as 1.5-point underdogs at sportsbooks such as TopBet, with the total listed at 52.

Odds Shark prediction models pick the Falcons to win this game on Sunday 30-21. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New Orleans Saints will try to spoil to the party on Sunday; they are 7-7-1 ATS against the spread this season, while the Atlanta Falcons are 6-9 ATS. New Orleans is 9-5-1 on the over under betting totals; Atlanta is 2-12-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Atlanta vs New Orleans injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Atlanta Falcons rated this week at No. 21 and the New Orleans Saints sitting at No. 22.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Atlanta's No. 21-ranked offense, averaging 21.47 PPG, against a Saints defense that ranks No. 32 this week at 30.6 PPG. The Falcons aerial game is averaging 270.33 yards per game, less than the Saints secondary allows through the air, 281.13 YPG per game.

Defensively, the New Orleans Saints feature the league's No. 31-rated road run defense, allowing 143.86 yards per game. The Atlanta Falcons, meanwhile, ranks No. 16 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Last time out, Drew Brees threw for 3 scores and 412 yards in leading his team past Jacksonville at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

In their last game, Atlanta's aerial attack generated 306 yards and the Falcons came away with a 20-13 victory over Carolina at Georgia Dome.

Betting Trends
  • New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games
  • New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
  • Atlanta is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
  • Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New Orleans home to , Wednesday, December 31st
Atlanta home to , Wednesday, December 31st

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