It’s hard to believe Miami is on a roll in any specific situation, but there’s no typo in that headline. The Dolphins are on a streak that’s seen them post 11 consecutive outright wins at home vs West Coast-based teams. They’ll get an opportunity to add another W to that streak as an underdog on Sunday Night Football vs the visiting Oakland Raiders.
- The Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last six games at night.
- The total has gone UNDER in six of the Raiders’ last eight games on the road.
- The Raiders are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games on the road after failing to cover in their two most recent road games.
Somehow the Dolphins come into this game with a winning record of 4-3 SU, but for a multitude of reasons, it’s been a very ugly season in South Beach. They’re at the bottom of the league averaging a pitiful 13.1 points per game and to the curiosity of many, they just offloaded 24-year-old starting running back Jay Ajayi, who was supposed to be a big part of the offense for years to come. Even against a mediocre Oakland rush defense, Miami will struggle to run the ball with the duo of Damien Williams and Kenyan Drake, who only have a combined 57 rushing yards this season. Not good.
The Raiders have been hot and cold this season. They’re 3-5 SU and were excellent in their three wins, but they also have a few no-show performances under their belts vs the Redskins and Bills. They’re now in must-win territory if they want to make it back to the playoffs and if you’re wary of visiting teams playing on the opposite coast, your instincts might be right in this case. The Raiders are a brutal 4-20 SU in their last 24 games on the East Coast, which matches up pretty good with that “Dolphins hosting a West Coast team” trend.
There seems to be an avalanche of trends working in Miami’s favor, including a 4-1 SU and ATS record in their last five games as a home underdog. And it just so has it that the Raiders have traditionally been a bust as a road favorite, going 4-8 SU and ATS in their last 12 as road chalk. Considering how atrocious Miami looked vs the Ravens last week, though, these trends need to be taken with a grain of salt.
The total for the game is hovering at 43.5 points and bettors will be interested to know that the Dolphins’ home OVER/UNDER record combined with the Raiders’ road OVER/UNDER record is 2-5. The Raiders are averaging just 15 points in road games this season and Miami’s defense is allowing a respectable 19 points per game at home, making the UNDER a nice option for totals bettors.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
On the Sportsbook betting line for this matchup, the Miami Dolphins sat as 2.5-point underdogs at shops such as Sportsbook. The total has been pegged by the oddsmakers at Sportsbook at 43.5.
OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game picked a 22-16 victory for the Dolphins. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.
Oakland Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
Betting fans of the Miami Dolphins have seen them go 4-3 and 3-3-1 ATS so far this season, while the Oakland Raiders are at 3-5 and 3-5 ATS. In OVER/UNDER totals betting, the Oakland Raiders are 4-4, while the Miami Dolphins are 2-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Miami vs Oakland injuries news.
The Power Rankings at OddsShark have the No. 26-rated Oakland Raiders taking on the No. 28-rated Miami Dolphins in this betting contest.
Statistical Matchup
The game also pits Miami's No. 32-ranked offense, averaging 13.14 PPG, against a Raiders defense that ranks No. 23 this week at 23.75 PPG. The Dolphins aerial game is averaging 176 yards per game, less than the Raiders secondary allows through the air, 236.5 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Raiders feature the league's No. 28-rated road run defense, allowing 130 yards per game. The Dolphins, meanwhile, rank No. 31 in rushing offense at home.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Derek Carr led the way last time out for the Raiders, connecting for 313 passing yards, but failed to earn the victory in a 34-14 loss to the Bills at New Era Field.
The Dolphins were shut out in their last start, struggling to get much going against Baltimore's defence and losing 40-0 to the Ravens on Thursday at M&T Bank Stadium.
- Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
- Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
- Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
- Miami is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
- Miami is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
- Miami is 7-13-2 ATS in its last 22 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Oakland home to New England, Sunday, November 19
Miami at Carolina, Monday, November 13
