2014 AAC Football Betting Preview
Central Florida ran the table in the American Athletic Conference last season, going 8-0 in conference play and earning a berth in a BCS bowl with a 12-1 overall mark.
However, the oddsmakers at 5Dimes have them as just co-favorites to repeat as the AAC champions this season.
The odds to win the AAC championship at Bovada have Cincinnati and Central Florida at 7/4, with the Bearcats going 6-2 in conference play and 9-4 overall last season. Helping Central Florida and Cincinnati's cause this year - Louisville (7-1 in the AAC last season) has left for the ACC.
Houston is then at 5/2 on the AAC football betting odds at Bovada, with East Carolina rounding out the true contenders at 7/1 on those betting lines. From there the AAC odds drop to Memphis, SMU and Tulsa and South Florida.
Temple, Tulane, and Connecticut then round out the odds to win the AAC championship as the 66/1 longshots at Bovada.
2014 Odds to Win the AAC Championship at Bovada as of August 18:
Central Florida 7/4
East Carolina 7/1
South Florida 50/1
The remnants of the depleted Big East decided to joined forces with a number of defections from Conference USA to form the American Athletic Conference. It would be hard to still call this new conference a major, but a few of the teams could have an impact in the national polls. The following is a look at all 10 teams that make up the 2013 AAC and their odds to win the BCS Championship.
Louisville (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada 22/1)
The Cardinals are clearly the class of the AAC and a legitimate Top 10 team if they can live up to all the expectations. Last season they went 11-2 straight-up but they were hard to bet on at 6-7 against the spread. The total went OVER in four of their last six games.
Cincinnati (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada 250/1)
Cincinnati is also coming off a successful season with a 10-3 record SU and a highly-profitable 9-3 record ATS. The Bearcats’ defense ended the season ranked 14th in the nation in points allowed, giving up an average of 18.5 points a game.
Rutgers (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada 300/1)
Rutgers claimed a share of the final Big East title with a 5-2 record in conference play and it went 9-4 SU overall. Its defense was one of the best in the country and held opponents to an average of just 14.2 points a game. The Scarlet Knights went 7-6 ATS and the total stayed UNDER in nine of 12 games.
South Florida (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada 500/1)
The Bulls stumbled to a 3-9 record in 2012 and they were a costly 3-8-1 ATS. The total stayed UNDER in seven of 11 games, which is easy to see considering the offense averaged just 20.6 points a game.
Temple (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada OFF)
Temple joined the Big East last season and went 2-5 in conference play and 4-7 overall. It was 4-7 ATS as well and the total went OVER in six of 10 games. The Owls' 201.3 rushing yards a game last season were almost twice as many as their passing yards a game.
Central Florida (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada OFF)
Central Florida comes over from C-USA as the East Division champions after going 7-1 in conference play. It was 10-4 SU overall but just 7-7 ATS. The total went OVER in 10 of their 14 games.
SMU (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada OFF)
The Mustangs are another defection from C-USA. They closed out last season 5-3 in conference play and 7-6 SU overall. They were 8-5 ATS and an impressive 7-1 ATS at home. The total stayed UNDER in three of their last four games.
Memphis (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada OFF)
Memphis closed out its run in C-USA with a 4-4 record in conference play but it was 0-4 SU in non-conference play. The offense averaged 24.2 points a game while the defense allowed an average of 30.3 points a game. The Tigers went 4-2 ATS at home last season and 7-5 ATS overall.
Houston (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada OFF)
Houston was another middle-of-the-road team in C-USA. It still has one of the most potent passing attacks that finished 2012 ranked 11th in the nation with an average of 328.4 yards a game. The Cougars went 5-7 both SU and ATS last year.
Connecticut (Odds to win BCS Championship at Bovada OFF)
The Huskies went 5-7 SU (4-6-2 ATS) last year but only managed to win two games SU in the Big East. Their defense held opponents to an average of 19.8 points a game, but their offense only averaged 17.8 points. Given these numbers it is little wonder the total stayed UNDER in eight of 12 games.